ok.
I spent about 8 hours every night for 4 nights taking the prediction model the White House used to come up with the 200,000 deaths scenario number and the may timeline.
I added new variables accounting for the following:
( including new VA MD DC lockdowns)
I spent about 8 hours every night for 4 nights taking the prediction model the White House used to come up with the 200,000 deaths scenario number and the may timeline.
I added new variables accounting for the following:
( including new VA MD DC lockdowns)
- No horizontal approach. There is no unified federal response.
- I added variables based on unique 376 regions.
- I accounted for social distancing activity the past 4 weeks
- Resources ( beds-trained professionals- First response) including future infected+ industry fatigue
- I added variables based on unique 376 regions.
- I accounted for social distancing activity the past 4 weeks
- Resources ( beds-trained professionals- First response) including future infected+ industry fatigue
Their model is statistically correct but "real life scenario FLAWED":
They did not account for Trump's direct effect with confusion, lies.
PPE/medical devices supply chain and the marketplace ( inter bidding)
other setbacks like companies ordered to make PPE with Zero guidance.
They did not account for Trump's direct effect with confusion, lies.
PPE/medical devices supply chain and the marketplace ( inter bidding)
other setbacks like companies ordered to make PPE with Zero guidance.
They were given no data. It was all Made for TV hot air.
I added variables accounting for major interstates connecting 376 mini countries with no borders & accounting for increase in homeless families we will have in 40 days
sending my model to the "Experts"
I added variables accounting for major interstates connecting 376 mini countries with no borders & accounting for increase in homeless families we will have in 40 days
sending my model to the "Experts"
Who are part of compiling updated sections that eventually make it to the decision makers.
My model shows we will have a national peak the last 10 days of may with roughly 100,000 avg infections daily.
1.3% mortality rate nationally, but will be higher in regions with less..
My model shows we will have a national peak the last 10 days of may with roughly 100,000 avg infections daily.
1.3% mortality rate nationally, but will be higher in regions with less..
..infrastructure and staff. Areas of under 100,000 people on average>Fatality rate could hit 3%.. Still below Italy's 9%. After peak we will still continue to see 70,000 to 90,000 new infections daily for another 2 weeks
Highest fatalities nationwide will be June.
Highest fatalities nationwide will be June.
I am not wanting to scare anyone. I want others to plan ahead and prove me wrong. If I don't get a response back within a day or two, I ll make it public.
Stay the fuck home
Stay the fuck home
Some will say who the fuck am I and what do I know.
I have been working on changing our entire approach to natural disasters preparedness day and night since 2017 with new proprietary technology. I hope I am wrong.
leaving this for the record.
I have been working on changing our entire approach to natural disasters preparedness day and night since 2017 with new proprietary technology. I hope I am wrong.
leaving this for the record.
my only fear is a "Fuck" or " shit" inadvertently typed somewhere and I hit send.
oh well. fuck it.
oh well. fuck it.
Everything you read above could be proven cray cray with one simple thing:
Stay home stay away from people outside,vdon't touch anything if you decide to go outside. it is not that fucking hard. at least there is no foreign military outside shooting at you
Stay home stay away from people outside,vdon't touch anything if you decide to go outside. it is not that fucking hard. at least there is no foreign military outside shooting at you
To explain this tweet. Once trump announced we will have the best easter, 48 million people tippled their daily movements and went back to normal activity the same evening and continued for 6 more days, while spring breakers are driving in or trough
to give you an idea why 48 million moving about two weeks ago is bad: that activity is the same as an entire Italy for a total of 20-30 hours.
California is the outlier. California is ahead of the timeline of the entire United States by 15 days.
Oklahoma is behind by 3 weeks
Oklahoma is behind by 3 weeks
7:45 am. I need to go nite nite. Stay home PLEASE. PLEASE PLEASE unless your house is trying to kill you or you need food
