Just to be clear I have no background in finance this is just what I’ve read and reflection of conversations with people that do
THREAD
‘Its the equivalent of someone paying off your mortgage but then reducing ur income by the same amount. It makes F all difference. Worse still they’ve ignored PFI’
‘In accounting you have to balance the sheets. The debt has to go somewhere, and PDC is the only choice’ /2
‘The old loan system is 2-4% interest, the PDC is 3.5%
If a trust is in surplus it will pay some of this off. If not, then the 3.5% will be added to the debt rather than the trust paying out the cash’
/3
‘Some of 13bn will be found by redistributing excess cash within the system - so if ur Trust A with 100m in bank (and there are some) then u will use ur excess cash to repay. Then trust B will be given it to use to repay its debts - out of one pocket into another’ /4
‘So if the question is - is the announcement all it seems? - no but don't forget that the fact that trust a had debts is because it had no choice other than to spend more than its income in the past. The main reason for that is PFI’ /5
‘The plus point of PDC is this - if even notionally public capital was free, then every decision we took based on a financial evaluation would be skewed - so whilst imperfect - used sensibly it forces us to use public money well’ /6
- It is complicated
- It is not all it seems
- It is one of the only options
- PFI is a bigger problem and erasing that would have helped more than this
My brain hurts
End
Some may ask what’s the problem here? There’s a few:
1. Trusts that we’re paying 2% interest now have to pay 3.5%. A 1.5% increase annually.
2. Well off Trust fear having the cash balance "haircut" to help pay for this