Thread by @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.

More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)

Because the erosion in President Trump's support is disproportionately occurring among college-educated whites, it's especially acute in suburban House districts with high numbers of them - and these @CookPolitical rating changes reflect that.

Most notably, three GOP incumbents and one open seat move from Lean R to Toss Up:

#IN05 OPEN (Brooks) (R)
#NE02 Don Bacon (R)
#OH01 Steve Chabot (R)
#TX21 Chip Roy (R)

Additionally, four GOP incumbents move from Likely R to Lean R at @CookPolitical:

#KS02 Steve Watkins (R)
#MN01 Jim Hagedorn (R)
#NC08 Richard Hudson (R)
#WA03 Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)

Meanwhile, six Dem incumbents move into safer @CookPolitical categories:

#PA08 Matt Cartwright (D) Toss Up to Lean D
#CA39 Gil Cisneros (D) Lean D to Likely D

Likely D to Solid D:

#AZ02 Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
#CO06 Jason Crow (D)
#MN03 Dean Phillips (D)
#VA10 Jennifer Wexton (D)

Finally, six GOP incumbents move out of Solid R into @CookPolitical's Likely R category, which is essentially an anti-Trump wave watch list:

#CA04 Tom McClintock (R)
#NC09 Dan Bishop (R)
#OH12 Troy Balderson (R)
#TX03 Van Taylor (R)
#TX06 Ron Wright (R)
#TX25 Roger Williams (R)