May end 2020, I made a video explaining the root cause of the problems associated with #COVID19 , why it became a pandemic but #SARS and #MERS couldn't and why #lockdown was an essential evil to stop the spread.
🧵1/
🧵1/
When I showed this video to a few friends of mine, some had an opinion that #COVID19 is blown out of proportion as:
1. Deaths are concentrated mainly for 70+ age group(90% of the deaths)
2. Death rate for <50Y is even less than 0.5%
3. Vaccines would be available soon
BUT..
🧵2/
1. Deaths are concentrated mainly for 70+ age group(90% of the deaths)
2. Death rate for <50Y is even less than 0.5%
3. Vaccines would be available soon
BUT..
🧵2/
When I expressed my concerns about potential mutations which could
1. increase the death rate (Now : #B117)
2. can escape immunities (Now : #B1351 and #P1)
3. kill younger people (Now : #P1)
I was called pessimist and -ve thinker
🧵3/
1. increase the death rate (Now : #B117)
2. can escape immunities (Now : #B1351 and #P1)
3. kill younger people (Now : #P1)
I was called pessimist and -ve thinker
🧵3/
https://twitter.com/devisridhar/status/1382766712941056011?s=20
Now that all those scenarios that I warned against are becoming a reality, I can only wish that governments around the world has listened to people like me who knew the importance of #NoCovid
Worst part of being prudent is you know saying, "I told you" isn't a solution.
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Worst part of being prudent is you know saying, "I told you" isn't a solution.
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So what can be done now? How do we
1. Save the younger people who haven't got the vaccine yet
2. Save the older/high risk vaccinated people from immunity resistant mutations like #B1351 and #P1
Answer : Keep health as priority and do everything possible to keep numbers low
🧵5
1. Save the younger people who haven't got the vaccine yet
2. Save the older/high risk vaccinated people from immunity resistant mutations like #B1351 and #P1
Answer : Keep health as priority and do everything possible to keep numbers low
🧵5
Govts can :
1. Encourage companies for home office
2. Encourage schools to provide parallel online classes
3. Encourage/enforce contact tracing apps in public places
4. Short but strict lockdowns when the numbers are beyond the tracing capacity
🧵6/
1. Encourage companies for home office
2. Encourage schools to provide parallel online classes
3. Encourage/enforce contact tracing apps in public places
4. Short but strict lockdowns when the numbers are beyond the tracing capacity
🧵6/
Individuals can:
1. Use contact tracing apps as much as possible and contribute in improving their effectiveness e.g. 2nd level contacts
2. Keep private contacts at a frequency that can be traced. e.g. a gap of 7-10 days between meeting 2 friends
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1. Use contact tracing apps as much as possible and contribute in improving their effectiveness e.g. 2nd level contacts
2. Keep private contacts at a frequency that can be traced. e.g. a gap of 7-10 days between meeting 2 friends
🧵7/
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