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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Jun 19, 2021 • 21 tweets • 23 min read • Read on X
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See four satellite images taken today of major water transport events from @NASA Modis below.
1. Monsoon winds leaving India
2. Monsoon winds arriving Africa
3. Closeup of the #HornOfAfrica
4. The latest WMA plume.

Today's #Africa and #Middle East rainfall forecasts follow.
Two views of today's heavy rainfall in the Nile Basin and along the Red Sea Coast.
A big picture view from the Atlantic to the Bay of Bengal. It is extraordinary how long the Leviathan storm has been stationary in the middle of the picture near the Black Sea. It started in late May!
The even bigger picture:

In the latest #EuropeBigWet update I discuss the global perspective. It appears now that the entire Northern Hemisphere has unusually high levels of atmospheric moisture this year.
Today's North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 19th.
48-Hour North Africa/Sahara ainfall forecasts from four models, this time including the ECMWF.
A satellite image of today's rains in the Ethiopian Highlands which are as strong as they have ever been so far this year. Rains are also strong over the Tigray region today.

These rains feed the Abbay river and provide the majority of water to the Nile's flow each year.
10-Day rainfall (+1 12-day) forecasts for June 19th of the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan

Rains are currently expected to be so heavy this year they will limit the amount of filling possible for the #GERD.
48 hour forecasts for June 18th (today and tomorrow) for the #HornOfAfrica. Including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

#GERD
Today's #ArabianStorms at Sunset.
Today we have several new #ArabianStorms videos from @Arab_Storms The first from #KSA Saudi Arabia.
Oman...
Torrential rains in the Jazan mountains #SaudiArabia.
And finally, glimpses of a road-trip on a wet motorway in the #UAE United Arab Emirates.
10-Day June 19th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour June 19th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
And finally, June 18th 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

Rainfall on the Arabian Peninsula looks set to continue.

[Note: Several long range forecasts now show rainfall on the Southern Yemen Coast.]

الله أعلم
As we are now keeping a close eye on the monsoon winds here are two sets of side by side comparisons in PWAT (GFS and ECMWF) for the source area over India for today and midnight Friday next week.
The other factor in the strength and direction of the East Africa Monsoon transport wind. Again two sets of side by side comparison from GFS and ECMWF. They show today and next Friday at midnight.
In these forecasts we see:
1. An increase in the strength of the source PWAT moisture.
&
2. Increasing strength and better directionality in the transport winds.
We shall see what happens :)

By then we should also have the first democratically elected Government in Ethiopia, elected in a freely contested election, albeit one being held under somewhat complicated circumstances.

/ENDS

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 22
A very sobering report escalation on the gulf and the Red Sea is accelerating and the prospects of peace are dimming. In short this is a catastrophe that is now metastasising into a full scale regional war.

Is Iran Becoming Another 'Forever War'? (w/ John Mearsheimer) | The Chri... via @YouTube
It’s pretty clear that there is only one option in this ongoing conflict on the middle east the U.S. has to back down. it’s like a shortened Vietnam war, the U.S cannot win and a second. MOU likely with far greater concessions to Iran is the only path out of it.

Whether Trump and the Congress are able to accept this is a moot point but if they continue on the current trajectory the result will almost certainly be much more damage to gulf states Kuwait / Bahrain/ Qatar / UAE and Saudi Arabia are all in the cross hairs now
That all being said a humiliating defeat is a far better outcome than a complete end to peace in the gulf and further escalation that will doubtless cause a massive collapse in trust globally a very deep recession globally and quite likely food and oil shortages all over the planet
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
May 19
X also throttles a lot of accounts so @elonmusk if you actually believed in free speech rather than just consider it a nice slogan you’d not allow Netanyahu and palantir to use it as a national security weapon
Also as long as you continue in your current path of obsequious Zionism you will shed readers like a waterfall
So @elonmusk what’s the quota of your read tweets that everyone on X has to reach in order to be rid if you constantly jumping into our threads uninvited and continue allow Zionist Israeli intelligence to use you as a global threat identification system to your fellow fascistic brethren
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
May 19
On the Interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla
The Wiley Fox didn't wait for the twelve-mile limit.
He struck two hundred and fifty nautical miles out in the deep blue. Right inside the Cyprus Search and Rescue zone under the nose of Akrotiri. Twenty-seven hulls boarded in broad daylight by tactical teams. The satellite streams jammed and cut to black while the global public watched the pixels freeze.
The Western military apparatus did what it always does when the cardboard rules are tested. They sat behind their high-grade radar screens and logged the telemetry. They did nothing.
But the Sovereign Witness operation of the Global Samud Flotilla was already achieved.

Bianca and the delegation forced the confrontation in international waters before the blackout hit.

The Fox needed a high-seas spectacle for his Monday session in the Knesset to scare his opposition, but he merely delivered the raw evidence to the forensic ledger. The hulls are under tow to Ashdod, but the narrative has already leaped off the deck.
"What is to be learned is that it is not the better cause that wins the earthly victory, but the better-fought cause." [10]
Irwin kish
Read 22 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Feb 4
This forensic @cnn video presented by @kaitlancollins - detailing the events leading up to the 10 Shot attack on Minnesota Medic Alex Pretti is devastating and ought to be enough to seal the deal and END ICE now.

Collins copresses Trump over concerns from Epstein survivors youtube.com/shorts/IHXnZDw… via @YouTube

Her reporting on the Minnesota killing of Doctor
For the wider picture this from Nicole Wallace is also superb.

Finally CNNs Kaitlan Collins coverage of Epstein is also superb - especially her interview with one of the survivors advocates.

It appears that the insane and deeply evil manipulations emanating from the white house & Justice Department related to the now (but not really) released Epstein files are a complete cover up. Not only are survivors names unredacted effectively putting a target on their backs (my words not from the report….

… but the witness testimonies from survivors are in some cases maybe most of them - completely redacted.
Whilst driving today I listened to a lot of extraordinarily good reporting about mostly #ICE+MURDER & Intimidation the open congressional hearing is particularly good including astonishing accounts from other victims of ICE that are simply terrifying.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 26, 2025
The U.S. constitution appears to be holding up at this point. But the drip drip of the Epstein files means President Donald Trump is looking increasingly impeachable and this will almost certainly trigger the begining of a premature end of @realDonaldTrump’s presidency. /1
Subpoenas of internal justice department officials will likely be the next step. And as there is bipartisan agreement on this there is no “get out of jail free” card on the table for those implicated in this horror show. /2
As the net closes in on the growing number of investigation suspects in this widening gyre it is becoming increasingly likely that the impact of this political events in the U.S.Capitol on politics across the entire U.S. will be seismic in scale.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 29, 2025
This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.

I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
nytimes.com/2025/10/27/wor…
Read 4 tweets

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