#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+8.2%) is still ahead of $EEM (-0.95%)
3/12
#Global#Value#stocks enjoyed short-term recovery to the end of April, but since then, $IWVL #ETF really struggled against #Quality & #Momentum. Over 1yr period it is however still the best-performing #factor, very much in its recovery phase.
4/12
This still remains one of my biggest concerns, but then again, it's been for some time. #Global#Tech#stocks relative to #MSCI All Country World Index is now approaching Mars. Be very careful.
$IXN vs $ACWI
5/12
#Internet companies still big driver on performance, with US Internet Co's $FDN #ETF growing 8.4% over past 3 months in USD versus +5.2% for #MSCI World $URTH
#Chinese Internet Co's $KWEB however lost 31% over same period. Wow! Not good for #Naspers/#Prosus & also SA $EZA
South Africa now caught up to China in USD over a 3 year period.
7/12
#US#Bonds had a slight recovery since March, but #Equities were clearly the star of the show. Be careful over the short term as $TLT #ETF relative to $SPY indicate overbought (equities) & could soon see some profit-taking.
8/12
$NASDAQ looks even crazier ☝️. Yes, $QQQ just came out of a great reporting season, but be very careful.
9/12
#Gold is not only lagging its "little brother" #Silver over the short-term but also #MSCI#Global#Equities. We are now back at mid-2019's relative levels, which saw Gold enjoyed some serious outperformance back then. This time might be different...
$GLD versus $ACWI
10/12
#Global#Financials#ETF, taking a bit of a breather lately, relative to #MSCI All Country World Index. Still, however, just like other #Value stocks, very much in a recovery phase. IMHO, it's still an opportunity.
$IXG vs $ACWI
11/12
Speaking about #Financials. #Global#Banks specifically looking quite interesting relative to #MSCI All Country World Index.
$BNKS vs $ACWI
12/12
And then finally, what would market feedback be without #smallcaps? After seriously outperforming between Q4 2020 & Q1 2021, the #Russell2000 really struggled since. Not yet a screaming relative oversold against S&P500, but getting close!
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Relative to broader asset classes globally, Local Equities continue to lead strongly over the short and longer term. Local Bonds and Local Property have also delivered competitive performance, while Global Property remain weaker across multiple timeframes.
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2/16
FTSE/JSE All Share delivered a 1.6% gain, SA Bonds up 2.6%, SA Listed Property surged by 7.84% (best local asset class for the month), while SA Cash remained stable at 0.6%. On a 12-month basis, both Property (23.6%) and Bonds (20.1%) continued to outperform Cash (7.4%).
3/16
In US dollar terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index gained 1.93% in October, slightly underperforming global equities (MSCI ACWI up 2.13%). Over the past 12 months, however, it remained a standout performer, rising 35.00% compared to the ACWI’s 22.51%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Local assets continue to shine, with four of the five best-performing asset classes being South African. In short: no local, no lekker this August.
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2/15
In August, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) advanced by 3.53%, lifting the 12-month return to a strong 25.82%. SA Bonds gained 0.70%, SA Listed Property rose 2.80%, while SA Cash returned 0.55%.
3/15
A graph that many local doomsdayers prefer not to look at. In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index surged a massive 6.83% in August, far outpacing both the MSCI All Country World Index (2.47%) and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (1.28%).
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Locally, the South African Reserve Bank lowered the repo rate by 0.25% in May — a move that certainly brought renewed optimism to the markets. Local remained lekker for 2025.
2/15
In May, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) rose by 3.14%, bringing the 12-month return to an impressive 27.30%. Local Bonds returned 2.70%, while SA Listed Property gained 2.32%. SA Cash continued to offer a steady 0.59% monthly return.
3/15
In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index increased by 6.57% in May, significantly outperforming both the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (4.27%) and the MSCI All Country World Index (5.75%). Those who advised people over the past five years to sell all their South African assets and move everything offshore are now silent.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share demonstrated another impressive performance in July, outperforming the MSCI All Country World Index. JSE recorded a 4.01% increase, while South African bonds (ALBI) & the local property market improved by 2.29% and 2.3%, respectively in July.
2/15
The JSE experienced a significant surge in July, gaining 9.7% in USD value. Comparatively, the MSCI All Country Index had a more modest growth of 3.66%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index witnessed a 6.22% increase.
3/15
The SA Fear & Greed Index recovered and moved closer to EXTREME GREED territory during July.
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few of the globe's largest #ETF's & their graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.
#SouthAfrica might be down over 1YR, but $EZA performance in USD (-15.9%) is still way ahead of both $URTH (DM -22.2%) & $EEM (EM -28.9%) over the same period.