1/11) @Sprott's Physical #Uranium Trust🏦 has poured gas on a fire🔥 that was already burning under #Uranium#mining#stocks📈 due to incredibly bullish fundamentals💪 of surging #CarbonFree#Nuclear demand🏗️⚛️↗️ vs tanking #U3O8 supply⛏️⤵️ & strengthening daily.🏋️♂️ Here's a🧵4U👇
2) #Uranium#mining#stocks are famous⭐️ for delivering extraordinary life-altering returns😎🍹🏝️ when they enter a boom cycle⤴️ after a long painful bear market for #Nuclear fuel😫when supply/demand fundamentals shift🌊 as they have now in early stages of a strong uptrend⬆️.../3
3) #Uranium is a cyclical commodity🔃 that goes through boom & bust cycles based on supply vs demand imbalances⚖️ magnified to extremes by supply security fears😟 as there is no available substitute fuel for #nuclear reactors & production is concentrated in so few countries .../4
4) Like other commodities #Uranium rises in value when supply is scarce🏜️ which in turn triggers more production to meet demand⛏️ but because it's the most regulated mined metal📚 subject to extremes of environmental scrutiny🧐 bringing new mines online is costly💰 & slow🐌 .../5
5) Lengthy time delays to get new #Uranium mines built or idled mines restarted🥱 while #nuclear fuel demand keeps growing🏗️⚛️ produce what can become an extreme supply deficit that keeps pushing uranium prices higher & higher as fuel buyers panic that they won't get fuel😱 .../6
6) Today's mined #Uranium is in a significant #U3O8 supply deficit⏬ due to 10 years of a low commodity price🤿 & under-investment in exploration, development & construction of new mines.0⃣🏭⛏️ U prices must rise to >$50/b for idled & over $60 for new mines to come online⚠️ .../7
7) #COVID19 pandemic has further deepened the #uranium supply deficit⚓️ due to long mine closures in #Canada & #Kazakhstan with no chance to make up lost production.⤵️⛏️ Meanwhile, 2 major U mines just closed⛔️ due to ore depletion & no large new mines are being built 0⃣🏗️🏭.../8
8) Throughout this period of declining mined supply↘️ #Nuclear utilities were under-buying U, drawing down inventory & relying on other #uranium sources (Secondary Supply) to meet demand instead of signing new supply contracts.✍️📜 They're now running low & must restock ⛽️ ../9
9) What will make this #Uranium boom cycle even more extreme🚀 is new global decarbonization #ESG drive🌞 requiring far more #CarbonFree#nuclear#energy to meet #NetZero emissions goals⚛️🏗️ further supporting & spiking demand higher⤴️ in midst of a sustained U deficit ⏬⛏️.../10
10/ New #uranium mines⛏️ to meet today's #nuclear demand⚛️🔌 should have been financed, licensed & built yesterday🏭 to increase U supply to rebalance the market.⚖️ Far higher #U3O8 prices💲💲 and another $5B+ investment💵 is needed to build the required new mines ASAP⌛️🏗️ .../11
11/ But building new #Uranium mines can take many years💤 for this highly regulated commodity.🐌 Even if U prices soar overnight to $200/lb🚀 it still can't speed up permitting & mine construction🦥 so #stocks will continue to soar higher🌜 providing life-changing gains 4 U😎⛵️🍾
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U may feel sucker-punched🥊 or prayers answered😇 or got stopped out🤨 by correcting #Uranium#mining#stocks📉 but 1 thing's 4 certain... #U3O8 supply⛏️⏬ vs #Nuclear demand⚛️🏗️↗️ fundamentals are getting stronger every day🏋️♂️ with even better (re)entry prices now.🛒 A🧵4U👇 ../2
2) If you're new to #Uranium & #mining#stocks in general👼 then U need to understand why this highly cyclical🔃 mined #nuclear reactor fuel⛏️⚛️ is famous for delivering extraordinary life-altering returns😎🍹 when it enters a boom cycle after a decade long bear market🚀.../3
3) #Uranium is a cyclical commodity🔃 that goes through boom & bust cycles based on supply vs demand imbalances⚖️ magnified to extremes by supply security fears😨 as there is no available substitute fuel for #nuclear reactors & production is concentrated in so few countries .../4
#Uranium: Was 2020 The Turning Point?!↪️⚛️⛏️ Canaccord Genuity Uranium Analyst Katie Lachapelle provides her take on what she sees as the turning point in the Uranium Market.🚀 Excellent!🤠🐂 #mining#stocks#investing#Nuclear#Energy#NetZero#ESG 🌞🏄♂️
Q: Are #Uranium#stocks overvalued vs Spot #U3O8 price?🤔 A: No. Global X ETF $URA used to track lock-step with Spot U but decoupled in 2018 after $URA changed from 100% to 50% U stocks.⤵️ Now, $URA has recovered to match the >70% rise in Spot U since November 2016 bottom⤴️ .../2
2) You see.. in early 2018 Global X #Uranium ETF $URA held >US$400M AUM 100% in U #stocks, but changed its Index to just 50% U stocks.😡 $URA then dumped >$200M worth of U stocks into tiny U sector,⤵️ decoupling $URA from tracking U Spot price.🔀 Investors exited U space🐻 .../3
3) But, in August 2020 Global X #Uranium ETF $URA increased its weighting of U #stocks from 50% to 75%, buying large volumes of U stocks🚛 which pushed up share prices↗️ and produced a Bullish market signal.🐂🛒 Investment firms began piling back into $URA & U stocks again⤴️.../4
If you're new to #Uranium & #mining#stocks in general👼 then I hope this thread will help you to understand why this mined commodity⛏️ used for #nuclear reactor fuel⚛️🌞 is famous for delivering extraordinary life-changing returns when it enters, as it is now, a boom cycle🚀...2
2/ #Uranium is a cyclical commodity🔃 that goes through boom & bust cycles based on supply vs demand imbalances⚖️ magnified to extremes by supply security fears😨 as there is no available substitute fuel for #nuclear reactors & production is concentrated in so few countries .../3
3/ Like other commodities, #Uranium rises in value when supply is scarce🏜️ which in turn triggers more production to meet demand⛏️ but because its the most regulated mined metal📚 subject to the greatest environmental scrutiny,🧐 bringing new mines online is costly & slow🐌 .../4
"I'm bullish" said Treva Klingbiel, President of leading #Nuclear fuel consultants TradeTech, who gave a very bullish #Uranium Market update at today's PI Financial Uranium Day webinar.👨💻 I'll try to cover her main points in this thread (apologies if I get anything wrong) .../2
2/ Bottom line: New #Uranium mines needed, especially in back half of this decade after idled mines restarted. #U3O8 price tailwinds are depleted reserves, lack of investment, increasingly restricted supply, mounting uncertainty over timely arrival & cost of new mined supply../3
3/ #Uranium Price headwinds are reduced #nuclear demand from potential early reactor retirements, lower costs for (re)emerging mines, stalled utility buying due to market uncertainties, competition from other energy sources. Utility concerns continue to delay procurement .../4
1) With many #Uranium Explorers now actively drilling in #Canada's #AthabascaBasin⛏️ perhaps it's time⏳ for a thread on how to interpret drill data coming soon🔜 in news releases.📰 Misunderstanding data can lead to premature exit... selling when ya shoulda been buying.🛒 🥴
2) #Uranium explorers drill rock core samples looking for signs of #U3O8 bearing ore.🧐 Rarely do they ever hit high-grade on first few attempts.😟 Geologists first look for visual signs in the core samples... here's description from pre-discovery 2013 drilling at Arrow (Rook 1):
3) Visual inspection of core samples is just 1 of many steps taken to see if they found #uranium. Presence of radioactivity is best indicator so all cores are scanned with an instrument called a Hand-held Scintillometer to produce "Scint" CPS tables for cores from each hole.🌡️