Some interesting comments from today's Fed Beige Book on both housing (investors, lot shortages, market normalizing) & labor market tightness (namely continued wage spike).
#Atlanta Fed housing commentary on investors
#Atlanta Fed commentary on tight job market
#Dallas Fed commentary on housing market normalizing & lot development delays/shortages
#Dallas Fed commentary on labor market & wages
#SanFrancisco Fed commentary on housing
#SanFrancisco Fed commentary on tight job market and double-digit pay rate spike
#StLouis Fed commentary on tight job market & wage spike
#Minneapolis Fed commentary on tight job market. "No longer willing to deal with rude customers..."
#Boston Fed commentary on housing
#Philadelphia Fed commentary on tight job market. "...job candidates would arrive for interviews with several offers in hand."
#Philadelphia Fed commentary on housing. "...increase in home prices enabling graceful exit from debt vs. GFC..."
#NewYork Fed commentary on wage spike
#Chicago Fed commentary on tight job market

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More from @RickPalaciosJr

29 Nov
Monthly pulse of resale housing market still rapid according to 4,500 agents we just surveyed. Top 3 themes: 1) Bit of market normalizing. 2) Skittish sellers fearing nowhere to move. 3) End of travel ban boosting international buyers. Commentary across the country to follow…
#Houston resale agent: “A lot of people are not listing because they don't know where they are going next. Seems that many people listed too high even for a sellers' market, so I am seeing more price reductions now than earlier in the year.”
#Orlando resale agent: “Our buyer pool is increasing. We see more buyers from the north connecting with us as they plan to visit the area from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year.”
Read 25 tweets
16 Nov
Over the last few months I’ve spoken with dozens of real estate & mortgage industry executives, trying to gauge what impact (if any) #crypto is having on the #housing market. Here’s what I’ve concluded. (1/) realestateconsulting.com/bubblicious-cr…
The number of home buyers w/documented crypto accounts has risen from ~0% one year ago to between 5% & 10% today. Platforms such as @coinbase $COIN were noted most often in my conversations, with $BTC & $ETH common plays. (2/)
It's more difficult tracking the % of home buyers using crypto gains towards the down payment on a home purchase. Most mortgage lenders & home builders estimate ~5% or less. However...(3/)
Read 12 tweets
10 Nov
Home prices still accelerating through October in majority of housing markets we track. Handful below finally moderating (#Austin, #Boise, #Phoenix, #Seattle, & #DC). Here's #Austin.
#Boise home prices
#Phoenix home prices
Read 5 tweets
8 Nov
Fresh October home builder survey results. Top themes: 1) Builders are finally lifting sales caps (though not all). 2) Lack of lots & land development delays will hold back growth in 2022. 3) Most builders expect prices to keep rising. Market commentary to follow…
#ColoradoSprings builder: “One cautious trend to watch is single-family rental businesses paying more for land than builders. This will suck up trade capacity & supply at a time we can't afford it.”
#Denver builder: “Traffic & sales definitely slowing down, but also following a more seasonal pattern as compared to 2020. Resale inventory is still historically low. Rents are skyrocketing again.”
Read 25 tweets
23 Oct
Some new data & market commentary on who's buying land from our 3Q-2021 land broker survey. Build-for-rent operators snapping up 15% of raw land in #Florida & outbidding home builders on deals across many markets. Couple charts & market commentary to follow...
Here's the chart where we asked land brokers if they've observed build-for-rent operators outbidding home builders on land deals in their market. 46% said 'yes' when we rolled it up nationally, and as high as 77% in the Southeast.
#Phoenix land broker: “A lot of speculators in the build-for-rent space that are tying properties up & going through entitlement process, then flipping the property for an increased price. Equity requirements for the build-for-rent projects are getting larger.”
Read 12 tweets
21 Oct
Yesterday's Fed Beige Book commentary on #wages was pretty eye-opening. I'm hearing this daily across housing sector, but definitely spiking across the board.
#Dallas Fed wage commentary
#Atlanta Fed wage commentary
Read 7 tweets

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