Thread by @NTenzer

Peskov, Putin's spokesman, denied the existence of any #agreement on "de-escalation" (I repeat, not a goal in itself) nor anything in terms otherwise contemptuous of France.
This was totally predictable.
Quick #Thread
#Russia
1/6
theguardian.com/world/2022/feb…

1 There could be no agreement, and indeed I would have been somewhat concerned if there had been. It would have meant that @EmmanuelMacron would have accepted concessions. He didn't actually.
But there cannot and should not be any, not now, not later.
2/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/why-the-west…

2 There was talk of "commitment" - just vague commitment to continue the discussions. Nothing more. No commitment not to attack #Ukraine, one way or another, no commitment by Moscow to implement the Minsk agreements (not really).
Moscow will continue.
3/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/fogs-of-war-…

No commitment, because no negotiation.
3 It is known that #Russia alone is responsible for the non-implementation of the #Minskagreements, which has a reading of them that deviates significantly from the letter of the text. This is not misunderstanding, but bad faith.
4/6

4 To speak in addition of any commitment of the Russian regime is a sinister joke (Budapest Memorandum, etc.). I come back to a point that needs to be repeated: to speak of "trust" with this regime, even in the distant future, is totally inadequate.
5/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/discussions-…

5 To imagine "stable, predictable relations" (Biden's words, now abandoned) with the Russian regime makes absolutely no sense. It's not only an element of instability (dixit Macron) today, but durable. To imagine the contrary is dangerous & harmful to the security of Europe.
6/6