Nicolas Tenzer Profile picture
Feb 8 6 tweets 4 min read
Peskov, Putin's spokesman, denied the existence of any #agreement on "de-escalation" (I repeat, not a goal in itself) nor anything in terms otherwise contemptuous of France.
This was totally predictable.
Quick #Thread
#Russia
1/6
theguardian.com/world/2022/feb…
1 There could be no agreement, and indeed I would have been somewhat concerned if there had been. It would have meant that @EmmanuelMacron would have accepted concessions. He didn't actually.
But there cannot and should not be any, not now, not later.
2/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/why-the-west…
2 There was talk of "commitment" - just vague commitment to continue the discussions. Nothing more. No commitment not to attack #Ukraine, one way or another, no commitment by Moscow to implement the Minsk agreements (not really).
Moscow will continue.
3/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/fogs-of-war-…
No commitment, because no negotiation.
3 It is known that #Russia alone is responsible for the non-implementation of the #Minskagreements, which has a reading of them that deviates significantly from the letter of the text. This is not misunderstanding, but bad faith.
4/6
4 To speak in addition of any commitment of the Russian regime is a sinister joke (Budapest Memorandum, etc.). I come back to a point that needs to be repeated: to speak of "trust" with this regime, even in the distant future, is totally inadequate.
5/6
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/discussions-…
5 To imagine "stable, predictable relations" (Biden's words, now abandoned) with the Russian regime makes absolutely no sense. It's not only an element of instability (dixit Macron) today, but durable. To imagine the contrary is dangerous & harmful to the security of Europe.
6/6

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More from @NTenzer

Feb 6
I note with concern that this interview of @EmmanuelMacron with @leJDD raises a lot of concerns, not unfounded, among our Allies.
I also wonder if it was entirely appropriate on the eve of a discussion with Vladimir Putin.
#Thread
1/8
lejdd.fr/International/…
1 First, on the process, was it appropriate to publicly state his positions? Is it not, unintentionally of course, giving the enemy an advantage? This is also a problem of diplomatic #communication.
Something that I stresed here.
2/8
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/how-well-can…
2 Secondly, while our Allies remain distrustful & suspicious, this text risks increasing their distrust & thus the division of the EU on this subject. This may increase our fragility. It would have been wise to give the opposite signal.
My @cepa piece.
3/8
cepa.org/does-france-ha…
Read 8 tweets
Dec 3, 2021
#Breaking
The channel #RussiaToday (known as RT) France had filed two lawsuits against me (see my piece for
@lemondefr translated here in English).
I was acquitted by the 17th chamber of the Paris judicial court.
#Thread
1/8
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/the-russian-…
The court ruled that my comments "are part of a value judgment fed by the research of the author of the message (...) in a recurrent polemic relating to the editorial dependence (...) of the channel (...) on the Kremlin".
2/8
The Court also ruled that "the accused author must be able to express himself all the more freely as his analysis is at the heart of the mechanism of freedom of expression, whose limits are not exceeded in this case."
#Freedomofexpression
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Dec 3, 2021
#Breaking
La chaîne #RussiaToday (dite RT) France avait lancé deux plaintes contre moi (voir mon article @lemondefr).
J'ai été relaxé par la 17e chambre du Tribunal judiciaire de Paris.
#Thread
1/8
⬇️
lemonde.fr/idees/article/…
Le tribunal a notamment jugé que mes propos "s'incrivent dans un jugement de valeur nourri par les recherches de l'auteur du message s'inscrivant (...) dans une polémique récurrente relative à la dépendance éditoriale (...) de la chaîne (...) envers le Kremlin".
2/8
Il a aussi jugé que "l'auteur incriminé doit pouvoir s'exprimer d'autant plus librement que son analyse se situe au coeur du mécanisme de la liberté d'expression, dont les limites ne sont nullement dépassées en l'espèce".
#Libertédexpression
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Nov 1, 2021
Merci (sincèrement) pour vos remarques. Certaines me paraissent fondées ; d'autres méritent d'être discutées ; d'autres ne correspondent pas à ce qui a été écrit dans @DeskRussie (pas par moi au demeurant et le directeur de la publication ne relit pas tout avant parution).
1/14
Sur le think tank influent, oui je pense que c'est une erreur que de l'avoir écrit - dont acte.
Sur certains passages critiqués (appel à l'armée russe), j'ai compris cela comme du second degré.
L'article de @DeskRussie ne dit pas que le type en question serait LE candidat... 2/14
Je précise que @DeskRussie n'est pas #RussiaToday ou #Sputnik à l'envers : il n'y a pas de système de contrôle de "conformité" au-delà d'un minimum (v. infra). Nous avons des points de vue souvent différents et parfois des oppositions entre nous. C'est normal et souhaitable.
3/14
Read 14 tweets
Aug 21, 2021
#August21201, the day Western leaders, mostly @BarackObama, decided to abandon their eminent responsibilities and historical consciousness.
Everything that followed logically stems from this assumed will not to act—yes, a deliberate will.
#Ghouta
#Syria
#DoNotSuffocateTruth
1/4
Intervening would not only have saved hundreds of thousands of lives, but would have also stopped the victories of the revisionist powers.
We decided, yes decided, to lose, which means that we decided to let the #crimesagainsthumanity continue until today—they are—, ...
2/4
but also to allow the revisionist powers to set the agenda.
There's a continuity in #Syria between the #Ghouta, #Aleppo, #Homs, #Idlib..., but also with the failure of our intelligence and will in #Georgia, #Ukraine, #Belarus, #HongKong & #Afghanistan.
3/4
theconversation.com/debate-silence…
Read 5 tweets
Jun 27, 2021
#regionales2021
#electionsregionales2021
#fraudeelectorale
Je partage peu ce genre d'histoires, mais celle-ci est d'intérêt public - et va intéresser @Interieur_Gouv @Conseil_Etat notamment.
Une personne assez proche, absente de @Paris la semaine dernière, donne...
#Thread
1/7
une procuration à A.
Quand A se présente au bureau de vote, quelqu'un d'autre - dont nous avons le nom - a déjà voté (avec une fausse procuration).
Donc cette personne proche n'a pu exprimé son vote.
Elle décide de porter plainte le lendemain. L'officier de police la...
2/7
dissuade de le faire (quelques idées là-dessus). Cette personne dépose donc une main courante (je pourrais faire quelques commentaires aussi...).
Cette semaine, cette personne proche, absente à nouveau, donne une procuration à B. Quand B se présente, le président du bureau...
3/7
Read 7 tweets

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