Kyle Orton Profile picture
Apr 27 42 tweets 28 min read
Thread: 27 April 2022: Day 63 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Another case where the levers of influence over #Turkey that supposedly explain why #Russia has such influence over Ankara highlight the questions of why the #US cannot use these same levers and why the Turks do not worry about them
#Ukraine's ability to strike inside #Russia, in towns like Belgorod, is now becoming routine
#Russia blames #Britain for the strikes by #Ukraine within Russia. The British have occupied this primary place in Russian messaging for some time, and it likely genuinely reflects the beliefs of the leadership
The #US has totally reversed itself inside a month on training #Ukraine's forces with American weapons systems
Vice President of #Russia's Gazprombank Igor Volobuev has fled his country and joined #Ukraine's Territorial Defence Forces after another Vice President, Vladislav Avayev, was found dead in an apparent murder-suicide, which Volobuev believes was staged zona.media/news/2022/04/2…
This is very well put. The idea #Russia distinguishes between heavy weapons and jets is very silly - and it is even sillier for us to pretend to care
#Britain's latest public intelligence estimate:
- #Ukraine controls "the majority of its airspace"
- #Russia continues bombing the south and east but has "very limited air access" to the west and north
- Russian attacks on Mariupol are largely unguided
#Finnish involvement against the #Russians is so seldom good news for Moscow
#Russia continues trying to push through Kherson into the Mykolaiv Oblast, but #Ukraine is resisting and if anything the tide is going the Ukrainian way, albeit slowly and at a grinding price
Unfortunate in the short-term for #Moldova to be dragged into this, but #Russia has made the decision to use its #Transistria base as part of the #Ukraine war. Kyiv has little choice to response, and the end result could help stabilise Moldova itself.
#pt: While it seems clear that a #Russian effort against #Odessa as part of this Donbas offensive - as a way to link up south #Ukraine with #Transnistria - will go badly, this has not stopped Moscow so far, and the Kremlin clearly wants all of this
Late last year, Denis Kulikovskyi ("Palych"), one of the cruellest wardens of one of the worst GULAG camps in the Donbas, was captured by Ukraine's authorities
All roughly what you'd expect from Nikolai Patrushev, framed at every level by #Russia's elite believing this is a war with the West, not #Ukraine.
The Orthodox element to #Russia's war on #Ukraine has been important from the outset, and as Moscow seeks to mobilise numbers for the Donbas offensive, after the army was battered around Kiev, this is coming more to the fore
#Russia had better scope for framing the #Mariupol battle before it razed the place and massacred thousands of its people, who now rot in mass graves outside the city. Difficult to convince people after this that it is Azov's fault.
Thread on an interesting case of someone in #Ukraine, a supporter of #Russia right up to the invasion happening, who has now switched entirely. Russia has helped weld together a nation in Ukraine.
#Indonesia's President Joko Widodo has invited #Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky (over the telephone) to take part in the G20 summit in Jakarta in November.
Trevor Reed, the former #US Marine taken hostage in #Russia in the summer of 2019, has been released.
The full list of 287 #British MPs sanctioned by #Russia, includes: Dominic Greave, Jeremy Hunt, Andrea Leadsom, Julian Lewis, Esther McVey, Jacob Rees-Mogg, and Diane Abbott. order-order.com/2022/04/27/rea…
The Investigative Committee of the Russian (SKR) has opened a criminal case against Rovshan Askerov for the "rehabilitation of Nazism" because of a Facebook post containing "deliberately false information insulting and discrediting the memory" of Marshal Georgy Zhukov.
#Russia began direct flights to #Taliban Afghanistan on 25 April
As well as stirring up trouble in #Moldova, Russia's government is now threatening #Kazakhstan as well.

Moscow suppressed disturbances in Kazakhstan in January, but was unable to deploy full force as it was preparing for #Ukraine.
Putin channelling the "NATO is fighting to the last Ukrainian against Russia" narrative that a lot of Westerners who pretend to care about human life use when arguing that Russia should be allowed to have its conquest unhindered
CCTV footage of the bombing in #Transnistria on 25 April of the Ministry of State Security, the institution created on the model of the KGB.
#Russia is facing a nightmarish situation in #Ukraine, a dastardly coalition of Nazis and armed homosexuals down in Mariupol, and cross-dressing advisers to the President in Kiev.
#Russia's spokesmen approaching the climactic moment at which they declare themselves to be poached eggs and demand large pieces of buttered toast to lie down on
Only so many ways #Russia can make clear that its war is with #NATO, and #Ukraine happens to be the theatre.

NB: the Russian mobilisation for this next phase includes a heavy emphasis on "spiritual security", with the Orthodox Church as a focal point
"#Britain is considering deploying Challenger 2 Main Battle Tanks to #Poland to allow Poland to supply #Ukraine with T-72 tanks." ukdefencejournal.org.uk/britain-consid…
Boris getting a lot of appreciation in #Ukraine that he does not in #Britain

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More from @KyleWOrton

Apr 30
Thread: 30 April 2022: Day 66 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia is in a very unhappy place. Little else that can be said.
#pt: If one was waging a war of aggression under the banner of "denazifying" a neighbouring state, eschewing fascist aesthetic might be considered a propaganda necessity.
Read 16 tweets
Apr 29
Thread: 29 April 2022: Day 65 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"V" and "Z" monuments gone up in Maloyaroslavets, in European #Russia Image
Footage of a #Ukraine drone strike on #Russia's forces in Luhansk
Read 29 tweets
Apr 29
A church-commissioned German investigation said Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI's claims to have no personal knowledge of the child rape cases when he was running the archdiocese of Munich (1977-82) were not credible. He could be accused of wrongdoing in four. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/01/…
In one of the cases, Bendict, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger as he then was, "accepted a priest into his archdiocese even after the cleric had been convicted of sexual abuse in a criminal court."
The priest had been imprisoned in the 1960s on charges related to a "large number" of sexual indecency cases with underage boys, but in the late 1970s, after he was released, he petitioned Ratzinger to be returned to clerical work, and was made a pastor
Read 5 tweets
Apr 28
Thread: 28 April 2022: Day 64 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Britain is getting the messaging right on this: an acknowledgement of the reality that there is a task in front of us, but a refusal to even hint at recognising #Russia's annexation of Crimea or any other part of #Ukraine
#Russia managing to forge a nation in #Ukraine, revitalise a West that had seemed in terminal decline, and eliminate its own levers soft/economic influence in a war meant to do exactly the opposite is quite something to watch
Read 65 tweets
Apr 18
Thread: 18 April 2022: Day 54 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"'I screamed at the [#Russian] guards: "He is dying, he is dying." I tried with my bound feet to push a bottle of water towards him,' says Dima, visibly distressed. 'All they did was laugh and say: "If he dies, he dies. All Ukrainians must die".'" independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…
#pt: "For 10 days, survivors of this room – all civilians – say they were starved, tortured, subjected to multiple mock executions [by #Russian soldiers], threatened with rape and forced to sit in their own excrement by soldiers under Trostyanets station [in Sumy]."
Read 39 tweets
Apr 17
Thread: 17 April 2022: Day 53 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia: Sergei Erzhenkov, a journalist, attended a 4 March anti-war rally in Kasimov, where inter alia he filmed activists spray-painting "Putin — go away" on a Lenin statue. The FSB arrested him the next day and he says tortured him. themoscowtimes.com/2022/04/14/rus…
Read 33 tweets

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