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Jul 2 • 40 tweets • 28 min read
Thread: 2 July 2022: Day 129 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Special Report: Dozens of Russian weapons tycoons have faced no Western sanctions reuters.com/world/europe/d…
In #Russia, a professor from Novosibirsk, Anatoly Maslov, was arrested and flown to Moscow on 27 June to face charges of passing state secrets to #China. Another professor from the Siberian town, Dmitry Kolker, was charged just before that. novayagazeta.eu/articles/2022/…
Latest @DefenceHQ update:

- #Russia making "minor advances around Lyschansk"

- Russia is using anti-ship missiles for land attacks "likely because of dwindling stockpiles" of precision weapons

- The strikes on Odesa used even less accurate Kh-22 KITCHEN missiles Image
A human story from Russia: Valentina is leaving her kiosk in Moscow. A nice-seeming lady, who, at the end of what sounds like a difficult life, had found something she enjoyed doing, and now perhaps has to give it up. She mentions being upset at the war.
#Ukraine has put the #HIMARS to use quickly, targeting #Russia's command posts, without the risk of civilian harm, and making a difference on the battlefield already. Still, as one soldier says, "I think it took too long to get them here". washingtonpost.com/world/2022/07/…
The #US is providing a $50-million aid package to #Ukraine exclusively focused on ammunition for the #HIMARS.
The #US is impressed with the use #Ukraine is making of the #HIMARS
#pt
A report in the @WSJ has #US officials making the same point: the #HIMARS are already helping #Ukraine alter the dynamics on the battlefield with #Russia, as could have been predicted in a war where artillery is so central. Notable impact around Izyum. wsj.com/articles/new-u…
#Ukraine destroying more of #Russia's mighty "Pantsir-S1" air defence systems
#Russia very favourable to #Scottish separatism. Unsurprising in light of how effective this United Kingdom has been in helping thwart Moscow's ambitions in #Ukraine.
Interesting, whether genuine or not. And the broad point made - that #Belarus overtly entering the war on #Ukraine would be dangerous for its internal stability - stands.
Terrible spread of the "Z" cult within #Russia, now to farmers
#Russian equipment losses
Footage from #Ukraine's Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drones as #Russia was forced off Snake Island yesterday.
#Russia: in Moscow and Saint Petersburg, there are some signs of the war - less foreigners, less brands, more "Z" and "V" symbols - but in general there is a "carnival feel" like the summer of 2018 during the FIFA World Cup. wsj.com/articles/in-ru…
#Ukraine's anti-tank weapons in action against #Russia
Co-Chair of the Australian Federation of Ukrainian Organisations Stefan Romaniw says: "One thing we need to understand ... is the resilience of the Ukrainian people – #Ukraine will not give up territory" skynews.com.au/world-news/glo…
#Ukraine eliminating #Russia's ammunition dumps, this time near Kherson
#Russia fired ten Onyx missiles at Mykolaiv this morning from the occupied Kherson area. Industrial and agricultural targets were hit. nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/ev…
#US and #Norway getting NASAMS to #Ukraine
35 states - 25 #EU states plus inter alia America, Australia, Britain, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan - have called for the suspension of #Russia and #Belarus from international sports organizations. Hungary and Bulgaria notably did not sign. gov.pl/web/sport/mini…
Anzor Maskhadov, the son of Aslan Mashkadov (president of the unrecognised independent #Chechnya between 1997 and his death in 2005), has reportedly been hospitalised in #France, some suggesting he has been poisoned.
The #EU will issue a ruling to allow #Russia to violate the sanctions by transiting EU territory to take goods to #Kaliningrad, albeit with some limitations. Since 17 June, #Lithuania, now thrown under the bus by the EU, has been enforcing the sanctions. spiegel.de/international/…
Pentagon impressed with #Ukraine's operation of the S-300
Pentagon confirms that #Ukraine hit the Russian tug boat, Vasily Bekh, on 17 June, with harpoon anti-ship missiles. These kinds of attacks are what forced #Russia to abandon Snake Island on 30 June.
Reports #Ukraine cleared out of Lysychansk in the Luhansk Oblast overnight.
The #Chechen forces that #Russia mostly use for public-relations are in "action" in Lysychansk, the town in the Luhansk Oblast in eastern Ukraine, which seems to have fallen to the Russians.
#pt
#pt
"#Ukraine has requested that #Turkey detain and arrest the #Russian-flagged cargo ship Zhibek Zholy carrying a cargo of Ukrainian grain taken from the Russian-occupied port of Berdyansk" reuters.com/world/ukraine-…
A humanitarian aid package (medicine, food, clothes) intended for the Russian-occupied Donbas in eastern #Ukraine has been found by local blueberry-pickers in a forest in Maloyaroslavets, a town in the Kaluga Oblast of #Russia.
Naturally, the #Russian soldiers who conquered Lysychansk in eastern #Ukraine raised a #Soviet flag over the town.
In #Russia, Siberian journalist Maria Ponomarenko has been sent to a psychiatric hospital for writing critically about #Putin's war on #Ukraine, specifically the assault on Mariupol, a return of the old Soviet practices against dissidents.
Reports of an explosion within #Russia, in the town of Belgorod
#Serbia's Interior Minister seen with the #Russian "Z" symbol
#Ukraine potentially putting the #HIMARS to good use in Melitopol in the #Russia-occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast
#Ukraine's President Zelensky
All caveats, this is interesting, cuts with the grain of what's plausible. The silly American domestic fight that erupted over "bounties" aside, #Russia has been supporting (with #Iran) the #Taliban for many years, and quite openly since the fall of Kabul.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 4
Thread: 4 July 2022: Day 131 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update:

- #Russia has taken Lysychansk. #Ukraine managed to withdraw without being encircled. The Russians now have the Luhansk Oblast, likely their focus will now turn to Donetsk.

- The Russian war has Ukraine's agricultural exports down to about one-third. Image
In his speech last night, #Ukraine's President Zelensky mentioned: "Since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion in Ukraine, 89 athletes and coaches have been killed in Ukraine. Another 13 have been captured by Russia." news.yahoo.com/89-athletes-co…
Read 18 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 3
#Denmark: there has been a shooting at the Field's shopping centre in Copenhagen. Situation is ongoing. Not much more is known than that there have been shots fired and people hit. Chaos currently overtaking the area as everyone flees. expressen.se/nyheter/missta…
#pt
There are "several" people dead after the shooting in #Denmark at the shopping centre in Copenhagen. The attacker, a 22-year-old Danish citizen, has been arrested. - @AFP
Read 5 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 3
Thread: 3 July 2022: Day 130 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is moving towards the annexation of #Kherson. This area of #Ukraine has been occupied since February and the Russians are planning to stage a referendum. One way Moscow is preparing for this is by arresting opposition elements. Image
#Ukraine's President Zelensky marking Navy Day with those who have, especially in recent days, shown such courage and effectiveness against #Russia's invading forces. ImageImageImageImage
Read 30 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 1
#OTD 1916: The first day on the Somme, a terrible bloodletting for the British and French, with 20,000 killed and 40,000 wounded. The campaign, however, nearly broke the Germans on its own, and was crucial in setting up the Allied victory two years later in the Great War.
The Franco-British Somme offensive in the west combined with the Russian "Brusilov Offensive" from the east. Had several other factors gone differently, e.g. the Romanians had come into the war a couple of weeks earlier, it might have shattered Germany in the summer of 1916.
The effect of the Somme-Brusilov experience in the summer of 1916 convinced Germany that nothing like that kind of land-based set-piece battle must ever happen again. Berlin switched to trying to suffocate the Allies with a naval blockade that in the end sealed its fate.
Read 9 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 1
Thread: 1 July 2022: Day 128 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia bombed a block of flats in Odesa overnight, killing at least ten civilians
Great move from #Canada. The worries about depleting Western weapons stockpiles are largely misplaced: what is happening in #Ukraine - defending Europe from #Russia - is what these weapons were acquired for in the first place.
Read 23 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 30
Thread: 30 June 2022: Day 127 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#New_Zealand under Jacinda Ardern has not covered itself in glory over #Ukraine. The culmination of a lot of long-running trends.
U.S. Treasury Sanctions Nearly 100 Targets in Putin’s War Machine, Prohibits Russian Gold Imports home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…
Read 34 tweets

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