Thread by @JohnMoralesNBC6

Model forecast tracks for Irma this morning (left) versus 48 hours ago on Tuesday morning (right).

Images courtesy @weatherbell

While one or two models have a lower #FLKeys to Florida’s west coast track, there is remarkable agreement from all others that... (1/n)

In relation to the Upper Keys and South Florida, Irma is likely to be either a close shave like Matthew last year or a direct strike. (2/n)

So I am ready to go from *possible* to *probable* in terms of the likelihood of us having to tangle with Irma Saturday night and Sunday (3/n

Exactly *what* impacts we get will be greatly dependent on the exact and precise track it ultimately takes. And that’s not something… (4/n)

that I’ll be able to predict until later tomorrow. A Hurricane Watch *will* be issued today for South Florida. If we’re in READY mode (5/n)

then the Watch means SET to complete preparations for Irma for most of us. The GO would come when a Hurricane Warning is issued Friday (6/n)

Now, some of you may require more than 48 hours to prepare, so maybe *your* GO comes today. Either way… (7/n)

It is now likely that we will be impacted in one way or another by Irma, and we’ll have to prepare for the worst and hope for the best (8/8)