Thread by @SethAbramson

The Mike Pence Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) If what Flynn told Mueller is true, Trump's transition team knew Flynn was negotiating sanctions with Russia.

(2) Pence ran the team.

(3) Pence lied when he said Flynn never told him he was negotiating sanctions with Russia.

2/ The John Dowd Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) If Dowd used Trump's feed to confess to Obstruction without telling Trump, he must be disbarred.

(2) If Trump saw but didn't stop/erase the tweet, he's culpable for it.

(3) If Dowd lied, he *and* Trump committed Obstruction.

3/ The Trump Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) Flynn's deal means he incriminated Trump and/or Pence—the two men above him.

(2) A Flynn confidant says Trump knew Flynn was negotiating sanctions with Russia.

(3) Trump (a) lied to America, (b) will face indictments eventually.

4/ The Kushner Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) Mueller met Kushner recently to get him to incriminate himself.

(2) He succeeded—unless Kushner told Mueller he conspired with Flynn to violate the Logan Act.

(3) Kushner will be indicted fairly soon on this and other charges.

5/ The GOP Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) If they break with Trump for any reason—ever—he creates a splinter party.

(2) If they let Dems impeach Trump in 2019, the GOP stays intact and uses the anger of its base to win in 2020.

(3) Trump owns the GOP until he passes away.

6/ The Peter Strzok Situation, in three easy steps:

(1) Strzok—a Mueller agent—wrote private anti-Trump texts; Mueller fired him.

(2) The GOP is angry because... um... Mueller did what they wanted?

(3) The GOP response reminds America—um—pro-Trump FBI agents helped Trump win?