1) typical "you can't predict the future" response from brexit supporter. Lets consider it.
We know #Brexit will have a short to mid term impact, it has to due to ongoing uncertainty. Benefits must be long term.
However
We know #Brexit will have a short to mid term impact, it has to due to ongoing uncertainty. Benefits must be long term.
However
2) according to Iain long term forecasts are ridiculous, one cannot predict the future 15 years hence therefore the leaked report is worthless
Fair enough, but equally, Brexit supporters cannot predict benefits 15 years hence - it's a complete unknown for them by the same token
Fair enough, but equally, Brexit supporters cannot predict benefits 15 years hence - it's a complete unknown for them by the same token
3) so the #Brexit economic argument swaps relative prosperity for short term economic pain & a long term that is somewhere between very good & very bad, we just don't know, and neither do Brexiters, according to their world view.
Definite short term pain & 50-50 on long term pain
Definite short term pain & 50-50 on long term pain
4) imagine if @iainmartin1 was the CEO of a leading UK corporation.
In this lucky company he tells the board:
"We're dropping most of our existing product lines and breaking into new markets, it's very exciting"
"What new products?"
"We haven't developed them yet"
In this lucky company he tells the board:
"We're dropping most of our existing product lines and breaking into new markets, it's very exciting"
"What new products?"
"We haven't developed them yet"
5) "well, what new markets?"
"Don't know, they don't exist yet"
"Ok, what are the profit projections?"
"Short or long term?"
"Short term"
"Between bad & very bad"
"I see, and long term?"
"Absolutely no idea"
"Don't know, they don't exist yet"
"Ok, what are the profit projections?"
"Short or long term?"
"Short term"
"Between bad & very bad"
"I see, and long term?"
"Absolutely no idea"
6) "so let me get this straight, we're dropping existing products for new products we haven't thought of in markets that don't yet exist, and the only certainty is short term pain for the company?"
"Yes"
"You're fired!"
"Yes"
"You're fired!"
7) this is the #Brexit position in a nutshell, we can't predict the future, and we know the short term will be painful, but we're betting the entire economic future of the country on it anyway.
A burger van run on the same principles would be out of business in a month
A burger van run on the same principles would be out of business in a month
8) look, by all means say #brexit is about sovereignty or laws or less foreigners - but can we all at least accept that there is absolutely no economic argument for Brexit that stands up?
Whatever our reasons, the UK will be poorer
End/
Whatever our reasons, the UK will be poorer
End/
