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Nathaniel Bullard @NatBullard
, 14 tweets, 9 min read Read on Twitter
.@BloomberNEF's 2018 Electric Vehicle Outlook is just published! about.bnef.com/electric-vehic… Highlights in thread:
1/ Per @colinmckerrache: the world is on pace for 1.6 million electric vehicle sales in 2018, up from just a few hundred thousand in 2014.

Battery pack costs are down 79% since 2010. Average battery density is improving 5-% per year.

about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
2/ Last year, 21% of all global EV sales were in just six Chinese cities.

EVs are still under 2% of auto sales in most regions.

about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
3/ The EV product mix has tilted decided in favor of pure electric vehicles too. about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
4/ per @SalimMorsy, Annual EV sales should read 11 million per year by 2025, and 30 million by 2030.

China will be almost 50% of the global EV market in 2025, where EVs will be 19% of total sales.
5/ more from @SalimMorsy:
6/ The number of internal combustion vehicles sold per year is expected to start declining in the mid-2020s.

Electric bus uptake will be even more rapid than electric car uptake.
about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
7/ Metals and materials supply will be essential to meet the vehicle production levels @BloombergNEF envisions. @LoganGoldieScot pulls the lithium, cobalt, aluminium, copper, graphite, nickel, and manganese demand together into one handy chart about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
8/ Lithium supply "will not be a risk to EV adoption in the near term." Cobalt supply, though, "still looks challenging". about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
9/ Electric buses in cities - they'll be huge. They already are, in a sense: there are 300,000 electric buses on the road already, almost all of them in China. about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
10/ On a total cost of ownership basis, electric buses can already be cheaper than conventional buses today. about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
11/ By 2030, @BloombergNEF expects 84% of all municipal bus sales to be electric. By 2040, 80% of all fleets will be electric! about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
12/ And....impact on oil consumption. By 2040, electric vehicles will displace 7.3 million barrels per day of transport fuel (of which 90% is gasoline). about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…
13/ Check out the executive summary here: about.bnef.com/electric-vehic…

@BloombergNEF clients, you've got about 80 more pages of deep detail to get into behind the paywall.

Thanks for reading, and watch @SalimMorsy and @colinmckerrache and @LoganGoldieScot for more today /END
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