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Gavin Sheridan @gavinsblog
, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
The rhetoric (arguably dangerous rhetoric) around no deal has notably increased. #brexit
"significant planning" going on to prepare the NHS for a no-deal

"We are preparing for all eventualities"
Martin Wolf last week called it "folly" ft.com/content/a56910…
"work on drafting a joint declaration on the future relationship to sit alongside the divorce treaty may not start in earnest until September, or even after the Salzburg meeting" bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
All in all this is turning into a bigger clusterfuck than it already was. All EU member states are now actively preparing for a no deal. It's like the UK is the sheriff in Blazing Saddles pointing the gun at himself. "Hold it men! He's not bluffing".
Theresa May as Bart the Sheriff in Blazing Saddles
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Ah the MANs. It's become a part of my life at this stage. Here's Mark Griffin from @Dept_CCAE at the PAC last month. What are these cost savings you speak of Mark? (Also it's Norcontel not Norcom)
A reminder: the Court of Appeal hearing against the Department is due to start next month with regard to access to the concession agreement under FOI - the Department lost the High Court case.
Anyways! What are these "cost savings" of €22 million? Let's dig for a second.
Read 16 tweets
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Interesting. China says it has tested re-usable rockets and will apply the technology "within 2-3 years"
The Chang'e 4 probe is due to land on the moon this week. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang%27e…
Just before Christmas, China launched the first Hongyun satellite - a 156 constellation to deliver high speed broadband (similar to SpaceX's Starlink) nasaspaceflight.com/2018/12/chines…
Read 3 tweets
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I hope you all have a fabulous 2019.
*including the haters and losers 🤣
x2
Read 3 tweets

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1. There is a goliath dishonesty afoot among the leave camp that I want no part of. Everyone from Gisela Stuart through to Spiked Online, CrapX and John Redwood are pretending that anything that isn't no deal is not #Brexit. This is a sickening lie.
2. International relations are a rich tapestry of agreements ranging from exchange of letters through to mutual recognition agreements through to formal MoUs and FTAs. Nobody deals one default terms alone.
3. To that that end every nation on earth has binding obligations both with trading partners and international organisations on everything from fishing to space policy. Everything functions on integrated systems of rules.
Read 23 tweets
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1) #Brexit & "understanding leaver's concerns" - thread

As we prepare for a #PeoplesVote there's been discussion on how Remain needs to listen to "the causes of Brexit"

I'm going to give the perspectives of 4 leavers I know, because potentially it's not that simple
2) these are friends and colleagues. All very well educated & in well paid work or comfortably settled. I can't say that they are representative, but there is a common theme in all their attitudes which I'll be honest in saying is fairly simplistic & not particularly appealing
3) the first said their reason for leaving was it was too easy for a migrant to get treatment on the NHS.

In terms of the NI issue & how reunification might impact "British" NI residents she said "well, if you're going to live there it's your own fault because it was a risk"
Read 17 tweets
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“We can therefore be confident that most members of Unite, Unison and GMB (which have a combined membership of more than 3 million people) really do want the UK to stay in EU, and a chance to vote in a fresh referendum once the negotiations are complete" gu.com/p/9b5ca/stw
"Their reasons are clear. It’s not that trade union members are indulging in gesture politics or ideological breast-beating ……" gu.com/p/9b5ca/stw
#Brexit #PeoplesVote
"They are worried about the impact of Brexit on jobs, taxes, living standards and the NHS. They fear a Brexit Britain would find it harder to sell products and services abroad ...….." gu.com/p/9b5ca/stw
#Brexit #PeoplesVote
Read 10 tweets
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1. So I *could* do another thread on why the EEA is the best option but then I'll get a torrent of whining from ultra #Brexit idiots. So let's just cut to the chase. Yes, the EEA is suboptimal. Tough...
2. Leavers have whinged about every single alternative suggestion - suggestions which have been widely panned not only by leavers but also by Brussels. That's because these convoluted workarounds are trying to deliver the impossible.
3. The fact leavers can't bring themselves to admit is that regulatory harmonisation is a fact of life if you want frictionless trade. There is no cake and eat it option and the EU will make no special exceptions for the UK. Why should it?
Read 14 tweets
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1/ Why is @UKLabour not opposing #Brexit when Tory Brexit is in tatters & 72% of the Labour supporters do oppose Brexit ? This is a very intriguing question & it feels counterintuitive, especially since most Labour MPs oppose Brexit too. But is it?
2/ Despite Labour party & and supporters opposing #Brexit, supporting it is the surest way to to winning the next general election. And this has nothing to do with wanting to attract Leave voters at all - nothing at all.
3/ There is only one Brexit scenario that will keep the @Conservatives in power: A hard #Brexit that at the same time is a success. And we know how likely that is. All other scenarios will almost automatically lead to a @UKLabour Govt.
Read 12 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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