Profile picture
Bruno Waterfield @BrunoBrussels
, 9 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
I think prospects for #Brexit talks are looking very grim indeed
Best May can hope for - if Chequers agrees it - is that EU does not kill off the cherry picked single market/customs union straightaway
EU/Barniers pushing for either:
Full EEA plus customs union (although non-existent model that no one here thinks is tolerable)
Or an FTA and the Northern Ireland backstop
It’s that or no deal. Can British statecraft accept that? Is no deal more unacceptable for any British PM than allowing integrity of UK to be defined externally via backstop?
if May can't go back and can't go forward can the negotiations continue? No one serious beliefs EEA/CU is an option - including Barniers. Do they think the backstop can be swallowed, along side an FTA many members states fear?
Or is there a Tory Brexiter (Gove) pipe dream that can live with EEA/CU for now (even if it is toxic and most believe unworkable for more than a few years)?
Is it enough just berate the shambles in Downing Street, that’s not much of a strategy? As the last few years has shown, quality of EU decisions has been poor. Perhaps the question is now does British statecraft exist anymore?
Basically the summer looks like a cul de sac until hitting the wire in the autumn unless the EU concedes (as some on council side want) cherry picking is the landing zone with UK acknowledgement of ECJ, VAT, customs union (if not by name)
I think on both EU and British sides we’re about to see a catastrophic failure of politics and statecraft with huge implications for next decades in terms poisonous cross-Channel relations, let alone domestic implications of failing to digest Brexit vote
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Bruno Waterfield
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!