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Garvan Walshe @garvanwalshe
, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Technical but serious Brexit thread

There will be no vote on New Clause 37 - the ERG amendment that prohibits NI being in a separate customs territory from Great Britain.

This means the only deal the UK can negotiate (w/o) further legislation) is one that keeps the UK in CU /
2. Remainers aren't rebelling on it because they think it increases the chance of staying in the CU. However, the ERG have another amendment, 73, which *is* being but to a vote.

It's about VAT but would have the same effect of making a customs union with the EU impossible /
3. If Amendment 73 passes, the UK will not be able to apply the backstop, that it had agreed would apply in order to avoid a hard border /
4. If Amendment 73 fails, the only way of achieving the backstop will be to establish it for the whole UK, and that will only be possible by accepting membership of the Single Market and free movement of people /
5. By not contesting NC37 the government raised the stakes to a choice between the EEA and No Deal.

This is not a choice for which the country has been prepared.

ENDS
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