THREAD: I have be study the Supreme Court. Is sadly expect the Kavanaugh be cynically approve by the GOP control Senate, possible by tie break vote of the Pence (who will see as him destiny give him God). They likely do, even if some Senator put re-elect at risk. Is why?
GOP internal polling tell them already they lose House, and Senate lose is be possible, but only very narrow, if happen. If they no put the Kavanaugh through, is fear it depress base turnout, and make chance better lose Senate, and by more margin. So, is what can do about this?
Congress have power of impeach Supreme Court Justice (is happen before). Is same as impeach President. Is require majority vote of House, the 2/3 majority in Senate. GOP know is no way Democrats gain this much majority in Senate this year (if gain control at all). And even if...
...did manage remove the Kavanaugh (or drive him resign) is be The Donald who make nomination for replacement. To many, this still be OK, because The Donald, while still choose conservative, be force to nominate much more moderate person so can get approve. Still, is...
...unlikely a Dem control Congress wish give this nomination to The Donald. Result: Is seem highly likely we have the Kavanaugh for at least two year. Of course, this also not take in consideration what decisions him make in these 2 year. For example...
If him have opportunity to rule in favor of The Donald in Russia collusion or obstruct, and him do, the Kavanaugh know this inflame next election and increase odd of Dem reach 2/3 majority in Senate in 2020, and therefore make more possible him be impeached. Will he? And..
...if the Kavanaugh have opportunity to be decide vote in overturn Roe v. Wade, and him do, him also know is same outcome of make more likely Dem gain 2/3 majority in Senate in the 2020 (and also more likely of have Dem president to nominate him replacement. Will he? If...
...the Kavanaugh only care of himself, him make decisions in such cases that sooth Dem fears. If him true to him past (and promises him make to The Donald and the McConnell), him decisions make more likely him removed. Is interesting of conundrum him be in. Also, is...
...another option. If Dems gain control of Congress in Nov, even if only by narrow margin (enough so The Pence not able break tie), is can immediately reduce size of Supreme Court (by the attrition). The Kavanaugh would stay, but this ensure if another justice die or retire...
...The Donald no get make nomination. Then, if Dem gain White House, & keep control of Congress in 2020, can immediate increase Court size by enough justices to offset very unfair and cynical packing of the court with the denial of Obama nominee even get hearing. Is all...
...have be done before. Is all perfectly legal and constitutional. In any case, is necessary and justified. Of course, this launch new era of politicization of Supreme Court, but is GOP who do this already. Is also make Supreme Court...
...key consideration of Dem voters, which has NOT be case lately - but it HAVE be key consideration for GOP voters, which largely why many hold nose and vote for The Donald. Is my view anything which make Supreme Court more important factor in vote of...
Dem, Independent/Liberal/Moderate voters is good thing. Is important for protection of rights of women, minorities and underrepresent groups to VOTE for Dems now and in the 2020, and to HOLD them to expectation they do this. Because, you bet you own ass...
...next time GOP control House, Senate and White House at same time, they do this to YOU. They kick themselves now for not have do already (because they worry of lose control, but they face this possibility now anyway). They no miss chance again. -end-
Because new allegation by credible woman now, GOP is put in worse position. Do ram Kavanaugh thru anyway, & inflame blue wave more? Or do abandon the Kavanaugh & depress base more? Is option to start process w/new candidate, & finish after election. Is have until Jan even if lose
