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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
It's that time of the election cycle when we start seeing reports about early voting! My advice is to literally just ignore everything. 53eig.ht/2jCkfCH
It's true that, in theory, you could glean some useful info from early voting if you proceeded carefully. But I've been through enough elections to know that people don't proceed carefully and instead wind up connecting the dots in a way that confirms their priors.
A lot of things are like this with election data. Combing through poll cross-tabs, for instance. The upside, if do it very carefully, is that you get a LITTLE smarter. But the downside is that you wind up fooling yourself and getting a LOT dumber.
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