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Maddy Thimont Jack @ThimontJack
, 8 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
As things stand there are two key options for the PM
- continue as planned & try to get deal through Parliament
- accept there will be no deal so immediately increase govt planning

In both cases the govt will have to go to parliament, I've set out no deal process below👇1/
EU Withdrawal Act says 3 prospects for no deal:
1) parly votes down the deal
2) PM announces that no deal can be reached by 21 Jan
3) 21 Jan arrives without a deal

In whichever scenario a minister has to make a statement saying what the govt plans to do next 2/
But Parliament will likely want to influence this process (e.g. extend article 50, second referendum) - because it is still unlikely there is a majority in the House for no deal

I think there are three ways that parliament could try and do this 3/
Firstly, under the EU Withdrawal Act the minister must move a motion in neutral terms to say parly has 'taken note' of govts plans

In theory, this would prevent parly from tabling any amdts 4/
BUT (as @instituteforgov explains here…) there could be situations where the relevant Standing Order is 'disapplied' so that amdts could be tabled, although the motion would not be binding it would carry political weight 5/
The second option is to use opposition days - or backbench business time - to table a motion expressing views on what the govt should be doing instead of what it has planned - but as @DrHannahWhite points out these are also not binding 6/
The final route is to try and amend other #Brexit legislation - the Trade Bill has gone MIA but it will be needed for a no deal

Other legislation is also likely necessary for no deal - amdts could be tabled to add certain conditions to the commencement of those bills 7/
Of course there is still time for *a lot* to happen between now & deal / no deal

Definitely follow @cath_haddon for all things Tory party leadership contests, confidence motions in Parliament & General Elections: /ENDS
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