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Alex Wickham @alexwickham
, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
NEW: Theresa May's allies privately concede they are on course to lose the meaningful vote due 12 days from now. Senior Tories are gaming a second vote or another delay. Downing Street insider: “If we have to have the vote 30 times, we will"

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
Senior ministers are urging May to set a departure date soon after March 29th to convince rebels a new leader can take over the next stage of Brexit negotiations. A cabinet minister has discussed the idea with Gavin Barwell.

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
The ERG has held several conference calls this week. They reckon 40 of their MPs will always vote against the deal and the DUP will not back down. Putting on a Northern Irish accent, a senior member of the ERG told BuzzFeed News: “No surrender"

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
Brexiteers are talking about a "no deal by stealth". Interestingly they increasingly think May prefers no deal to a second referendum or election if she fails to get her deal through...

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
Big fight coming if/when May gets anything back from Brussels. Labour will force publication of new govt legal advice, which Brexiteers say will "sink" any assurances. ERG plans to compare a letter from the EU to Chamberlain’s agreement with Hitler

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
May's team confident they will win any confidence vote brought by Labour if they lose/delay the meaningful vote

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/th…
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Theresa May promised cabinet she would seek the “unilateral ability to withdraw” from any backstop and guaranteed the UK would not be kept in “against our will”, according to two cabinet ministers who fear she is about to renege on that pledge: buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/mi…
May also told cabinet that the NI-only backstop "would not be needed"... ministers fear that language leaves it open for the NI-only backstop to remain in what they are calling a “Russian doll backstop” buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/mi…
Draft text of the Future Economic Partnership doing the rounds, leaving open the possibility of a Canada-style FTA. Colleagues suspect this will allow Dom Raab to climb down on his public statements on the backstop and claim victory... buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/mi…
Read 5 tweets
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We are heading for an end state which is far away from Brexiteers' preferred destination of Canada-style regulatory divergence, No10 aides and allies of Leave Cabinet ministers now say: politico.eu/article/how-br…
Question for Brexiteers now is do they accept No10's plan for a close alignment deal and try to “fix” it afterward, or fight for the Brexit they want now? May has succeeded in getting some Leavers to back her: politico.eu/article/how-br…
Senior No10 aides privately agreed that no deal is not an option towards the end of last year, despite May's public statements to the contrary, and despite Dexeu ministers believing it was still a possibility: politico.eu/article/how-br…
Read 4 tweets

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I understand why some are pushing an indicative vote but I think it's misguided & messy

The best thing is head off for a Christmas break & encourage MPs to spend the time thinking carefully

Meanwhile reports of the death of May's deal are greatly exaggerated

A thread 👇

1/
It's obvious there are only now three real options -

✖️Leave with No Deal

✖️Leave with May's Deal

✖️Don't Leave

There are special cases of each of these but every possible path falls into one of these three boxes.

2/
Managed no deal (whatever that is or isn't) is a way of dressing up No Deal with a nice bow.

Norway Plus entails leaving with May's Deal & seeking to add commitment to build a closer future relationship.

A General Election or a Second Referendum could take us to No Brexit

3/
Read 22 tweets
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So far today...
Michael Gove: Meaningful Vote is going ahead
Lobby briefing: Meaningful Vote is going ahead
Downing Street spokesperson: Meaningful Vote is going ahead

Looks like the Meaningful Vote may be about to be cancelled.
Ooh. There's to be an oral statement from the PM at 15:30. Various leaks are suggesting the vote *has* been pulled, but nothing official yet so presumably that's what the statement is for: to present whatever absurd fantasist excuse TM has made for ducking the showdown with MPs.
It's definitely off, for now.

Next, we need various Government spokespeople to traipse out and all claim in quick succession there'll be no second referendum, and we'll be good to go!
Read 3 tweets
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#VOTE like you remember family separation.

#Vote like you remember Kavanaugh.

#Vote like you remember “Fine people on both sides.”
#Vote like you remember Helsinki.

#Vote like you remember Khizr and Ghazala Khan.

#Vote like you remember the fake Blind Trust.

#Vote like you remember their vow to take away your health care.
#Vote like you remember “alternative Facts.”

#Vote like you remember his tax returns.

#Vote like you remember the dismantling of the EPA.

#Vote LIKE YOU REMEMBER EVERY MEMBER OF THE GOP CONGRESS WHO ALLOWED ALL OF THIS TO HAPPEN.
Read 33 tweets
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!!NEW Q DROPS!! 9/21/18 00:34 CDT Anon caught the [17] Second = Q Delta❤️ between President Trump’s tweet - AMERICA IS WINNING AGAIN and Q’s Drop with the LV picture!! Q says, “Nice Catch, Anon”!! #QAnon #QProof #Winning @realDonaldTrump
!!NEW Q!! 00:36 Q links to Anon graphic with the [17] second Delta!! #QAnon #QProof #AmericaIsWinningAgain @realDonaldTrump
President Trump’s Tweets 9/21/18!! #QAnon #MAGA #KAG #WRWY #WWG1WGA #WeAreStrongTogether #WeWinTogether @realDonaldTrump
Read 69 tweets
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And we're off. Contain your joy. May thanks "everyone in our country going the extra mile" to help people in the snow.
She says she has "listened carefully to all" the views on how to do Brexit. Must have missed the meeting.
She is now reading out seemingly all of the speech she made outside Downing Street when she became PM.
Read 87 tweets
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So, a couple of things that have been bothering me about my #voting experience today..

#Thread

Well, *mini thread*
Now, I have lived at my current address for *slightly* over two years, so I've had a few opportunities to vote at this address..

Presidential Primaries
The Horrible Events that Transpired Last November
*The special election that I was Actually not allowed to vote in
*That was an interesting case.. I was Certain I was allowed to vote for Brian Benjamin in the Special Election.. they spent time looking thru the rolls but eventually gave me an affidavit ballot
Read 13 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Mueller #FishingIsFun #FISA #ConspiracyNoMore #MAGA #ThesePeopleAreSick #TogetherWeWin #VoteThemOut #QAlerts #Huber #WeThePeople #Pedestrian #StringsCut #FISABringsDownTheHouse #LastChanceToSaveAmerica #WhoIsQ #TakeItBack #MagicWand #UnplugFromFakeNews #MarchForOurLives #NeverStopPraying #SomethingBigIsAboutToDrop #AttacksWillIntensify #YourVoteCounts #DarkToLight

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