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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Jeremy Corbyn may be pushing towards a People's Vote on Brexit for *2* reasons:
- Stem the tide of defections (may not stop it entirely, but should slow it significantly)
- bring the issue to a head at a point of lowish support for it in the HOC.
It's win-win for him: he stops the rot, and get to look as if he's fulfilling the wishes of Labour members... when there's a very good chance the People's Vote amendment will get voted down, neatly taking the "problem" (as JC sees it) off the table without opposing Labour policy.
But then what? What's the plan when the PV vote fails? Back May's plan? Sit in the corner and sulk (abstain)? What will JC do next?

These questions may become pertinent VERY soon!
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
I get the feeling most MPs just want Brexit to go away. (You and I know that the argument about our future EU relationship will rage for years, but it may feel less raw and pressing to them.) To that end, they're looking for a way to annoy the least number of people.
That may, unfortunately, turn out to be May's deal. Jeremy Corbyn can try and get a people's vote amendment passed, and fail. That's him off the hook with the membership. And Theresa May will say and do whatever it takes.
As for the Brexit headbangers like the ERG, well May's deal plays into their hands because they can oust her after the deal's done, install one of their own, then pursue slash and burn negotiations with the EU on our future relationship, before turning us into a low tax haven.
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
My artistically challenged attempt at explaining what's next in the Brexit process... (reposting from yesterday)
And here it is as a PDF...
drive.google.com/file/d/1Mblge5…
And here's a more elegant Brexit roadmap made by somebody who can use a paint package...
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Important: despise the efforts of the media to portray it otherwise, Theresa May is NOT offering MPs a chance to take no-deal Brexit off the table.

What she is offering is much less useful: a vote on whether to leave under no-deal scenario. If that vote passes, we crash out.
If no-deal vote fails, MPs will be offered a vote to delay Brexit by extending Article 50. That's all. Doesn't take no-deal off the table, but merely postpones it by a few weeks or months. Make no mistake, no-deal will remain the default outcome even after *2* votes against it.
That's why the ERG are sounding remarkably relaxed about the prospect of a Brexit delay (though they're making token protest noises). They know:
A) No-deal remains default
B) EU are unlikely to accept a second extension
C) Closer we get to European elections, more stuck we are
Read 4 tweets

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Joe Barnes
@Barnes_Joe
Jeremy Corbyn and his Labour delegation warned both Guy Verhofstadt and Michel Barnier that cross-party Brexit talks are non-existent with the Conservatives. Brussels has placed a lot of importance on such discussions to break the #Brexit deadlock.
Keir Starmer told Verhofstadt that they’d held one discussion in which Theresa May instantly shut down the idea of a customs union as part of the future relationship.
Meanwhile EU 27 ambassadors were told Stephen Barclay and Geoffrey Cox didn’t table any new text as part of an effort to win fresh legal assurances that the Irish backstop is temporary and not a trap
Read 4 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
Jeremy Corbyn's true purpose in calling a general election is to secure not just brexit but hard #Brexit this election can only happen if mays deal is voted down and therefore the default becomes no deal
Any general election would dissolve Parliament and therefore make any steps to avoid no deal #Brexit impossible for most of the remaining time to brexit day . Jeremy corbyn is aware of this
Corbyn said on Marr he would submit a no confidence vote at a time of his choosing but soon. Corbyns intention is to table it so that any general election is held so close to brexit day no government will be able to halt no deal
Read 6 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
Jeremy Corbyn's idea of breaking the #Brexit impasse with a GE on a platform of renegotiating WA is A/unlikey to happen B/ a REALLY bad strategy to win power C/ catastrofuckingly dangerous for the country for the following reasons
#Brexit GE needs Some tories to support it which is unlikely given thst keeping corbyn out is the one thing that unites they would have a leader who intends to step down which is unlikely
The DUP definitely don't want a GE as they lose their leverage and ability to extract bribes
Read 23 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
#brexit seems to be all about feeling over fact and this is especially true of the ReesMogg ERG faction of the Tory right.
I never bought the line that #brexit is about Democracy because most of the Tory right had zero enthusiasm for improving democracy in the UK few of them care about unelected house of lords the unfair FPTP electoral system or transparency on the contrary
Most of the Tory right are interested only in constitutional changes that suit them and if anything strive to be as little democratically accountable as possible.
Read 23 tweets
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Jack D 🌹| #GTTO | ✋🏽
@JackDunc1
#Brexit *Thread*

To clarify, I am remain, but I feel a 2nd ref is monumentally risky & perhaps dangerous:-

1. Polls haven't changed much, result could easily be the same
2. Another campaign of hate will embolden the far right
3. If remain win. Leavers will demand another vote
4. Chaos & unrest are likely whatever the result, possibly violence too

What happens if it's still 'Leave'? Picture the chaos, square one. You're simply allowing the Tories more time to fail to come up with a solution. Every day that continues people in this country will suffer
What if it's 'Remain'? Leavers will, with some justification, query why this vote is more valid than the first. This has the potential to cause a constitutional crisis.

People can say 'we know the facts now' all they like, that will not placate millions of angry voters.
Read 11 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
Jeremy Corbyn is a lifelong brexist he has voted with the tory Europhobe right more times than any other Labour MP #Brexit might be said to be his most consistent belief
Corbyn's own brother said he would have campaigned to leave if he wasn't labour leader #brexit
Old friends and political allies are all of the same opinion Jeremy corbyn would have campaigned for #Brexit had he not been Labour leader
Read 20 tweets

Trending hashtags

#BrexitShambles #stem #LabourConference2018 #underreported #StopBrexit #Brexit #HarryLeslieSmith #PeoplesVote #brexit #ttip #SWE #Spain #FairVote #PeoplesVoteMarch #timefortruth #ProjectFear #Labour #PECS #AdvertisingEffectiveness #ABTV #Leave #Brexits #NOR #Remain #HostileEnvironment
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