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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Could be big? This poll finds Dems beat Trump 48-37 in a head-to-head 2020. But w/ an Indie candidate, the race is within the margin of error, w/ Trump barely ahead. Word of caution w/ polling unnamed candidates, but shows similar spoiler effect that we saw in NH poll last week.
Link to the poll: wasoncenter.cnu.edu/wp-content/upl…
What's really interesting is that Democrats and Republicans are roughly as loyal to Trump/the Dem choice even when an Indie runs, but independent voters flock to the third party choice. Indies are 46-20 D in the two-way, 27-18 D and 37 Ind in the three-way.
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
In past decades, (white) Evangelical Christians have embraced the political right, both in& out of church. This has alienated congregants of all stripes, but the problems run deeper than you might think. My new piece follows in thread form. Read it here: economist.com/united-states/…
1. It's well-known that white evangelical Christians lean heavily to the right. Their embrace of Trump has caused this fact to go mainstream. But the interesting bits are (a) how we got here and (b) the consequences moving forward.
2. Evangelical leaders abandoned discussions of morality & Biblical honesty in the 80s and embraced the politics of individual rights — to life, to speech, etc. In the past decade, those leaders have combined with conservative legal networks, forming a new Christian legal Right.
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
Today in one gif
Also
To the writers for today's episode:
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
Happening now in #NC09 fraud investigation: GOP candidate Mark Harris's son John talks about his warnings to his father that an operative's ballot-collection method was possibly illegal -- Dad hired him anyways; "Their mind was made up" b/c they saw Dowless get results. 1/2
2/2 Son says he thought his father was making an effort to ensure Dowless's scheme was legal, but is pretty hard to believe Harris did so w/ proper attn given his son's emails: "The key thing that I am m fairly certain they do that is illegal is..." the thing Dowless was doing.
If you hire a campaign operative who has in the past earned 98% of mail-in absentee ballots because you believe he "gets results," and your son warns that it seems illegal, I think the inability to see through the operative's lies is at least partially on you
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Lars Pellinat
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How the Dems see #Trump & #TeamTrump after the #CohenTestimony today: "Married to the Mob" by Bill Maher
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Wendi Muse
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so you may have noticed that 55% of the brazilian population voted for a fascist by the name of Jair Bolsonaro as their 38th president. this thread is about what he is doing in his first few days (month? we'll see) in office. +
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Palmer Report
@PalmerReport
Fair warning: for whatever reason, MSNBC has spent all day FLAT OUT LYING about House and Senate races. One outlier poll after another, to paint the bleakest picture possible. The only legitimate data ever worth looking at is the polling averages...
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1. All of a sudden, Ted Cruz is in a fight for his life.
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Zach Everson
@Z_Everson
Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
National politics correspondent for Newsweek, Nina Burleigh, with a fun find on a TV above the bar at the Trump Hotel DC bit.ly/2E37QRR
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bit.ly/2CpL7z2
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