, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Could be big? This poll finds Dems beat Trump 48-37 in a head-to-head 2020. But w/ an Indie candidate, the race is within the margin of error, w/ Trump barely ahead. Word of caution w/ polling unnamed candidates, but shows similar spoiler effect that we saw in NH poll last week.
What's really interesting is that Democrats and Republicans are roughly as loyal to Trump/the Dem choice even when an Indie runs, but independent voters flock to the third party choice. Indies are 46-20 D in the two-way, 27-18 D and 37 Ind in the three-way.
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