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This is a classic investor fallacy

Startups don’t ever die because they raised a full round at $20M valuation

They die because the product sucks or the market doesn’t care

Obviously
Our top YC investments were Coinbase and Instacart and they are worth more than $10B combined

Both seed investments were well north of $10M post.

Venture returns are power law. If you wonder at all if something is worth $X, you don’t have conviction and you should not invest.
Only invest when it is a HELL YEAH. Otherwise it is a no.

If you are “maybe, only if I get a good deal” you should probably walk. This is not that kind of business.
Founders who are bad just waste all the money

Great founders turn the extra money into even more growth and value

The bar goes up for founders who raise more but these things are power law startups, not book reports where everyone gets B’s
Investors, do not invest at $20M cap, nobody is forcing you to do anything

Founders shouldn’t raise larger rounds at all if they don’t think they can turn that money into a lot more money

Investment is a promise to investors of a multiple of value back, full stop
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