EU27 moving towards unconditionally shifting the cliff edge to from next week to early May.
With decision to be made by April 11th on EP election participation the determining factor for longer extension.
...
Arriving in Brussels this morning Eu leaders on board and on message trying to coax Commons to back May deal...
But over course of day, coming to realise that such a strategy may already be dead - have to plan with the expectation of No MV3 passing...
PM’s promises of being able to deliver Commons no longer believed.
Political capital, authority, credibility in question. Is she actually able to elicit the compromises needed?
So despite not being asked the EU27 are discussing modalities for longer extension...
But a squeeze on the short extension to give just enough time for what exactly? Probably not legal ratification of current deal, but probably for a confidence process in PM & diff approach.
Barnier, Weyand - Macron’s top adviser in there... Obviously no UK presence.