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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
BREAK: Results of indicative votes Y/N:
🔹No Deal 160 - 400
🔹Common Market 2.0 188 - 283
🔹EFTA/EEA 65 - 377
🔹Customs Union 264 - 272
🔹Labour Plan 237 - 307
🔹Revoke A50 184 - 293
🔹2nd Ref 268 - 295 ⭐️
🔹WTO 139 - 422

NOTHING has a majority! 2nd ref got largest vote.
After a rollercoaster day, this is helpful for PM. Shows that there is not a majority for anything, but two of these options (customs union, second ref) got bigger support than her own deal.
It is worth noting just how far a second referendum has come in past two years. At first a fringe idea, confined to Lib Dem conference and a few other forums, it now persuades large chunks of the Labour benches and it would seem Tory benches too after tonight.
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
BREAKING: Understand PM going for Meaningful Vote 3 tomorrow. Only after that will she will consider indicative votes.
Also understand PM due to speak to @DUPleader this lunchtime (as well as Jeremy Corbyn). Early reports say cabinet did not raise her future as PM, but there's a tacit understanding that it is "linked to the vote" tomorrow.
Cabinet did discuss indicative votes, but understand there was no agreement (as you'd expect). Brexiteers were firmly against, others more in favour. Am told "no conclusive remarks" from the PM on whether or not to hold them, but MV3 is focus for now.
Read 7 tweets
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
Labour NEC due to discuss second referendum today after hundreds of CLPs passed motions saying members should be consulted on whether or not they want one. 3 NEC members will push for a full consultation, citing that Jeremy Corbyn has always argued for more party democracy.
Understand two union delegates will also raise Ian Lavery’s comments over the weekend opposing a second referendum, which they argue are counter to party policy. But NEC still weighted against a People’s Vote.
Those pushing for second referendum argue members can be easily consulted, as per the precedent over whether or not Britain should intervene in Syria. Polls have shown a majority of Labour members would back a People’s Vote.
Read 5 tweets
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
NEW: Understand Tory MPs unlikely to back Labour front bench amendment. One rebel campaigning for a People's Vote says they want Labour to stick to conference motion and get on with campaigning for one rather than this multifaceted amendment. Unlikely to pass in that case.
Another Tory MP texts to say they won't support it. Seems like a non-starter in that case. Tory rebels sticking with Grieve/Cooper.
LATEST: Soubry, Allen, Wollaston won't back Labour amendment. So that's that then.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Tom Kibasi
@TomKibasi
THREAD

If parliament backs a customs union in the indicative votes, why shouldn’t it back May’s Withdrawal Agreement?

First, let’s be clear: the backstop is a misleading name. In the absence of any known alternative, it isn’t a fall-back but rather the default.

(1/11)
Given the absence of alternatives for the Irish border, and the fact that the withdrawal agreement has no mechanism for exit and allows only for a one-time extension of the standstill transition, the backstop must be assessed as the future destination (see Robbins, O.)

(2/11)
But for advocates of a soft Brexit—including the Labour party—why should this matter?

The problem is the lack of control—too little attention has been paid to the risks of being within a customs union without a say.

(3/11)
Read 12 tweets
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Kirsty Hughes
@KirstyS_Hughes
Where do last Brexit votes leave us? short thread

If the UK leaves the EU on 29th March it will be a chaotic no deal Brexit. Any other Brexit needs more time.
Even if May's deal passed at Westminster before then, delay/A50 extension needed for necessary legislation to pass.
1/6
EU may offer tweaks but not in a hurry - some EU leaders today suggest UK shd ask for feasible/realistic changes (incl. changed red lines) & a delay.
But Brexiters have no realistic alternative arrangements & there is no Tory unity (except on unicorns cf Brady)
2.
Next EU summit not til 21 March.
Commons last night refused to support delay or indicative votes.
As clock ticks down, scenarios:
- No deal Brexit on 29 March (or a bit later)
- May's deal passes (with a tweak or two) - wd need serious no of Lab. abstentions - short A50 delay
3/6
Read 6 tweets
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EFTA 4 UK
@EFTA4UK
EFTA #Brexit MEGATHREAD 🇬🇧🇱🇮🇨🇭🇮🇸🇳🇴: #EFTA #EEA #EØS
1/ An EFTA/EEA 'Norway' style relationship with the EU would be cheaper than EU membership. 💶💷💰efta4uk.eu/wp-content/upl…
2/ The UK would not be a mere 'rule taker' in EFTA/EEA - we would regain sovereignty in key areas and speak for ourselves on global bodies. efta4uk.eu/wp-content/upl…
Read 17 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. #Labour now seem to be unified in calling for a customs union. This to me looks like the sleepy kid at the back of the class suggesting something to make it look like he was paying attention. It is a non-solution to #Brexit. Thread...
2. Because it has the word "customs" in the name, they believe it has magical properties that bring about frictionless trade. As the Commission pointed out a year ago, this simply is not the case.
3. Frictionless trade is the byproduct of a system of behind the border controls which is largely to do with regulatory harmonisation - ie the single market. Without it, there will need to be controls at or near the border.
Read 14 tweets
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Dr Anna Jerzewska
@AnnaJerzewska
On #customs formalities and documentation under various #Brexit scenarios. Procedures and documentation required for customs clearance can be confusing. Particularly, the difference between a single market and a customs union seems to be unclear. /1
Under different Brexit scenarios there will be different customs formalities and supporting documentation traders will need to complete/ provide for customs clearance (from an upcoming blogpost): /2
This is a simplified view - additional formalities are required depending on the type of goods (e.g. agricultural, excise) and other supporting documentation may be needed (e.g. licenses, certificates, value declaration, insurance docs, tariff quota docs etc). /3
Read 5 tweets
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EFTA 4 UK
@EFTA4UK
1/ BREXIT MEGATHREAD: #EFTA #Chequers #ChequersPlan #eea #brexit
2/ We urge all of our supporters to RT and share this thread to all of your followers. Feel free to print any sections out and give them to people you think might read them.
3/ The UK must do all it can to avoid a damaging, jobs-destroying hard brexit:
Read 37 tweets

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#EC #WTO #world #importation #corpus #FBPE #Chequers #criminal #FDA #Brexit #PeoplesVote #law #tobacco #tariffs #billions #CPC18 #EFTA #economy #NTBs #SPS #food #customsunion #HouseOfCommons #engine #Tesco
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