Thread by @KirstyS_Hughes

Where do last Brexit votes leave us? short thread

If the UK leaves the EU on 29th March it will be a chaotic no deal Brexit. Any other Brexit needs more time.
Even if May's deal passed at Westminster before then, delay/A50 extension needed for necessary legislation to pass.
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EU may offer tweaks but not in a hurry - some EU leaders today suggest UK shd ask for feasible/realistic changes (incl. changed red lines) & a delay.
But Brexiters have no realistic alternative arrangements & there is no Tory unity (except on unicorns cf Brady)
2.

Next EU summit not til 21 March.
Commons last night refused to support delay or indicative votes.
As clock ticks down, scenarios:
- No deal Brexit on 29 March (or a bit later)
- May's deal passes (with a tweak or two) - wd need serious no of Lab. abstentions - short A50 delay
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- May deal rejected again; Commons changes mind on wresting control of timetable, indicative votes etc but can they agree eg on permanent customs union? If so, tweaks to political declaration, even to WA, short delay A50
- General election, if Commons rejects all routes ahead
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- Labour shifts on people's vote, squeaks through in Commons. Is there then a people's vote or general election (May calls one rather than face a PV)? Extension A50 requested for either vote.

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In all scenarios, there's deep uncertainty - even if May's deal passed, that does not pin down or guarantee the future relationship (beyond what the backstop guarantees).
Overall, economic damage will continue to mount, political crisis continues, UK political system failing
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