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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Something fuzzy about this mid-June "review" in #Brexit extension to October 31

If extension ends Oct 31, the June 20-something conduct review is meaningless unless its extension to June 30, open to Oct 31. /1
When texts emerge, it may be that the real extension date is June 30, or 22 (EUCO date) with 'end date' horizon of Oct 31 to quarantine new Commission/take in UK party conferences.

Otherwise the June rview is just cosmetic to save Macron's blushes. Need detail. /2
Brexit extension must be agreed among all 28 (ie including UK) and cannot be rescinded by EU27 if UK is 'misbehaving' in June...

So if June is a hard date, needs to be extension to June that is renewable to Oct 31 latest. /3
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Listen here to @zoesqwilliams at 2.55.36 on @BBCRadio4 calling Hungary a “very, very dark totalitarian state”.

This is risible. And Justin Webb should have pulled her up 1/

bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0…
Hungary is a huge problem. And orban playing fast and loose with the ground rules of liberal democracy. But it is not a totalitarian state.

I’ve myself written report it from hungry about many of the issues./2

telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/04/0…
But that kind of loose language is as bad and helpful as some of the nonsense on the right.

I don’t really want to get into the fight over @Roger_Scruton but.../3
Read 9 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Valencia’s incredible opera house where Spain’s UKIP equivalent Vox is about to have an election rally....
Long queues to get in. Lots of Spanish flags...looks like a full house.
It’s a big crowd. Vox organisers point to these sell-out rallies as evident they will over-perform on Sunday in #28Abril general election. /3
Read 18 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So. IDS and fellow Brexiteers are back punting the Malthouse compromise...and @theresa_may has "reluctantly" agreed to look again per @tnewtondunn
@nick_gutteridge

thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/89…

Totally mad? Well IDS makes one good point. A quick #Brexit thread.
@theresa_may @tnewtondunn @nick_gutteridge First, lets take the 'totally mad' approach... which @Jack_Blanchard_ sums up rather beautifully here. And on the idea of a negotiation in three weeks, he's totally right.

So where does IDS have a point? /2
@theresa_may @tnewtondunn @nick_gutteridge @Jack_Blanchard_ It's here, in the highlighted portion of the Sun story - it's the dirty open secret about the Irish backstop (hugely overlooked in Brussels and Dublin) which is that in practice, it's hard to see how it gets implemented. /3
Read 15 tweets

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Wondering if EU leaders might go for longer extension with reviewal dates linked to their already-scheduled summits: late June, mid-Dec and late March. That way Macron gets to impose “tougher” conditions BUT /1
Essentially EU will blink: EU leaders had made granting further #Brexit extension contingent on PM presenting concrete plan on how to proceed. France still insisting but no-one believes that’s what they’ll get from Theresa May today. They’ll likely grant extension anyway /2
Nothing can be taken for granted though. Especially on length of extension and conditions attached. Leaders decision will be influenced today by PM’s presentation at start of summit and their Q&A session with her afterwards. She then leaves room while they debate response /3
Read 7 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
You can almost hear the sound of combined eye-rolling across 27 European capitals .. as the PM requests a #Brexit extension-time (till 30th June) that Brussels has already repeatedly rejected /1
PM knows EU will likely insist on longer extension with option to end earlier as soon as parliament has ratified #Brexit deal (see: Donald Tusk’s proposed ‘flextension’) BUT by asking for shorter extension she avoids further flak from ERG-ites à la “Brussels forced my hand!” /2
EU leans toward longer extension to avoid being constantly approached by the PM for a rolling series of short extensions with threat of no deal always round the corner. Message from EU “Dear Theresa, Enough of the drama already! We have other non #Brexit issues on our plate.” /3
Read 3 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU opinion divided this morning: those who fear creeping inevitability of no deal #Brexit , others are upbeat: say: the negotiated Brexit deal is the last option standing; others see possibility of longer Brexit extension for general elex/2nd ref /1
Ambassadors of the 27 EU countries meet in Brussels this morning to debate the #Brexit What's Next. Will discuss ongoing no deal preparations. Concerns in rest of EU that Dublin hasn't made sufficient preparations /2
While Dublin wants to insist there will be no hard border even in case f no deal #Brexit - others in EU - incl big player Germany - worrying about protecting single market if 500km border stays open. Berlin insists checks will be necessary though can be away from border /3
Read 4 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Is there really such a big difference between France + Germany over #Brexit extension and way forward over next days? Not really. There are big differences in Merkel/Macron political styles. Big differences in message they want to send own domestic audience when talk Brexit /1
Bottom line for EU leaders when they meet today - aside from all their #Brexit frustration/irritation/fatigue is they hope to avoid a no deal Brexit if possible but they don’t intend to throw Ireland under a bus to try to ensure a deal by offering something new on backstop /2
As well as the PMs short extension request, EU leaders will debate a longer extension that the UK could ask for/the EU could offer if Theresa May’s negotiated #Brexit deal is rejected again in parliament next week /3
Read 3 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU has almost given up trying to understand what’s going on in UK.
Dutch PM Rutte compares Theresa May to Monty Python knight whose limbs get cut off in a duel but insists the fight was a draw. Elsewhere in EU, mood is darker esp with the prospect of a lengthy #Brexit delay 1
With UK politics mired in confusion, only thing EU can control this week is choreography at EU leaders’ summit, starting Thurs. Donald Tusk, EU Council president is visiting capitals to try to co-ordinate single EU response if/when Theresa May asks for article 50 extension 2
Today Tusk is in Berlin and Paris – the EU superpowers. But when it comes to delaying Brexit, any one of the EU’s 27 leaders has a veto. The decision must be unanimous 3
Read 16 tweets
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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
On #Brexit Salzburg summit and mandates - diplomatic source/s
May will present her position on the evening of Weds 19th at dinner
On the second day, there will be a working lunch with the 27 starting with Barnier report but moving on
Read 12 tweets

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