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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
EU opinion divided this morning: those who fear creeping inevitability of no deal #Brexit , others are upbeat: say: the negotiated Brexit deal is the last option standing; others see possibility of longer Brexit extension for general elex/2nd ref /1
Ambassadors of the 27 EU countries meet in Brussels this morning to debate the #Brexit What's Next. Will discuss ongoing no deal preparations. Concerns in rest of EU that Dublin hasn't made sufficient preparations /2
While Dublin wants to insist there will be no hard border even in case f no deal #Brexit - others in EU - incl big player Germany - worrying about protecting single market if 500km border stays open. Berlin insists checks will be necessary though can be away from border /3
Issue of N. Ireland border will come back to haunt the UK even in case of no deal #Brexit ..When sitting down with EU to forge post-Brexit trade deal - the border issue will be there from the start /4
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Wondering if EU leaders might go for longer extension with reviewal dates linked to their already-scheduled summits: late June, mid-Dec and late March. That way Macron gets to impose “tougher” conditions BUT /1
Essentially EU will blink: EU leaders had made granting further #Brexit extension contingent on PM presenting concrete plan on how to proceed. France still insisting but no-one believes that’s what they’ll get from Theresa May today. They’ll likely grant extension anyway /2
Nothing can be taken for granted though. Especially on length of extension and conditions attached. Leaders decision will be influenced today by PM’s presentation at start of summit and their Q&A session with her afterwards. She then leaves room while they debate response /3
Read 7 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
First noises out of the 3 hour long meeting of Ambassadors representing the EU 27 tonight confirms earlier impression: most countries warming towards longer extension ending Dec 2019 or March 2020 /1
France taking tougher position: insisting that the PM presents a credible plan before getting extension from EU. Paris also thinks safeguards (conditions) EU wants to impose on extension aren’t yet sufficient /2
NB Talks amongst EU ambassadors can and will be upstaged by face-face meeting amongst EU leaders themselves. On #Brexit they have tended to take a tougher line than their Brussels-based diplomats /3
Read 4 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Shifting sands as always before an EU summit focused on controversial issue: this time #Brexit and the PMs new extension request /1
The 27 EU ambassadors meet tonight and will try to hammer out a common position - even draft conclusions for tomorrow’s summit /2
WARNING: EU leaders can change draft conclusions when meet tomorrow. At last #Brexit summits, they have taken a tougher line than their ambassadors /3
Read 6 tweets

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Helene von Bismarck
@HeleneBismarck
Impressions from conversations with German and British officials, think-tankers and politicians at the Königswinter Conference on 11-12 April. Disclaimer: this is just my personal take and by no means a comprehensive report. Thread 1
After the Brexit intensity of the last few months, it was so impressive that the British delegation found its way to Berlin on the day after the EUCO cliff-edge. Also, Kudos to the German organizers who were forced to update the Programme almost hourly over the last few weeks. 2
Much has been made in the press over the last few days of 🇩🇪 playing good cop to Macron‘s bad cop over the question of an Article 50 Extension at EUCO on 10 April. But 3
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⚢⚧🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸
@SakuraNoSeirei
#Brexit news for today:

Nigel Adams, Minister for Wales, and Governement whip has resigned the #Cabinet over #TheresaMay's way forward.

1/n
You can hear #TheresaMay's reaction from here

2/n
So the splitting of the #ToryParty continues. Where will it end? And can we expect resignations from #Labour if #Corbyn is seen as giving up too much to #TheresaMay during the discussions tonight.

3/n
Read 92 tweets
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Nick Vucic
@npv708
Brexit, but in gifs.

#Brexit
The Leave Campaign prior to the referendum:
The Remain Campaign prior to the referendum:
Read 82 tweets
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Ben Kelly
@TheScepticIsle
Support for ‘no deal’ Brexit is the pinnacle of Leave's descent into zealotry. The end result of refusing to plan

Like Trump, 'no deal' advocates have flooded the debate with “alternative facts”
It won't end well

THREAD! PLEASE RETWEET!

#Brexit #WTOBrexit #NoDealBrexit #SOS
The increased support for a ‘no deal’ Brexit is the ultimate failure of the Leave movement. It’s the inevitable consequence of the refusal to grasp details, come to terms with complexity & coalesce around a plan. Compromise can be frustrating. So instead they will have a tantrum.
Some Brexiteers advocated sensible solutions. The EFTA/EEA solution gained a lot of traction in the years before the ref. Even Farage had promoted it & countless others. See Farage below from 2011 essentially making the ‘Liberal Leave’ case!
Read 55 tweets
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John Walton 🏳️‍🌈 ✈️ 💺
@thatjohn
Some deeply sobering thoughts about #Brexit tonight, from the perspective of a former Whitehall civil servant with an MA in International Relations.

Bottom line: get out of the UK. Get out now, while you can, however you can. Go wherever you can. I'm deadly serious. 1/
Westminster is obsessed with the "backstop", which is essentially how to administer a border within the island of Ireland. This is a distraction: throw enough arbitrage of VAT at the powers that be in Northern Ireland, à la Canarias or Ålands, and they'll fall in line. 2/
The Irish border question can technically be resolved. It has been resolved numerous times in the past, but the problem is that it has largely been a militarised border, like Iraq-Kuwait after the 1990s conflict, which is politically unacceptable. 3/
Read 32 tweets
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Katy Hayward
@hayward_katy
*Brexit at the Border: Voices from local communities in the Central Border Region of Ireland/Northern Ireland*
An initiative by @QUBelfast & @europe_icban to gather data on the immediate & anticipated effects of #Brexit for those living on the #Border
qub.ac.uk/brexit/Brexitf…
1/10
Here are some of the key findings from the report in slide form.
First an overview of the study itself:
Rich qualitative data (online survey & focus groups) gathered across the Central Border Region. Detailed examples & viewpoints heard from people on both sides of #border.
2/10
Respondents to the survey came from across the 8 local authority areas of the Central Border Region, moreorless equally from both sides of the border. 50/50 male/female. 80% 31-65 yrs.
There were far fewer Leave-voting respondents so they got extra attention in our analysis.
3/10
Read 10 tweets

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