,
9 tweets,
2 min read
Read on Twitter
As House Democrats try to figure out what to do next with impeachment, there are many assumptions being made about what happens if the party chooses to go down that path. There are also a few basic realities that Democrats should consider./1
Regardless of whether Senate Republicans ever get to vote against removing the president from office, Trump and the GOP will claim that he was exonerated either way. /2
Regardless of what House Democrats decide about impeachment, the president’s base will be mobilized and energized for 2020. Most likely, the rest of the party will end up voting for him as well./3
If House Democrats decide against impeachment proceedings, that decision will also be used by the president and his supporters to rally supporters and claim that all the investigations were a "witch hunt" and "fake news."/4
A House vote for articles of impeachment would not inevitably benefit the president. The revelation of more abuses of power would likely drag down his approval ratings. The mark of having been impeached won’t convince swing voters to vote for Trump or not vote for the Democrat./5
Regardless of what House Democrats decide about impeachment, it remains unlikely that we will see massive shifts in public opinion. /6
Regardless of what House Democrats do on impeachment, the next year will not be a period of serious policy debate. Without impeachment, the news will just shift to the administration's investigations into law enforcement, intelligence agencies, and maybe Democratic candidates./7
Regardless of what House Democrats decide with impeachment, the 2020 election will not be easy for the party./end
@threadreaderapp unroll
