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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
"a limited trade deal in one area of goods". No idea what that actually means, whether it would be legal under WTO rules, or why it would be a good idea for the country.

Every time there's a story like this a little more UK international credibility dies.
Another UK trade story this morning. Not clear if this is some kind of apprenticeship? Anyway, fine, but cross Government working and knowing why we actually want trade deals remain the bigger issues bbc.co.uk/news/education…
Liam Fox giving every indication of a man not expecting to be in his current or any post in a Johnson administration
More on the UK trade training scheme. Trade should be in the national curriculum

Could this all mean the powers that be are getting bored of existing trade geeks and want us replaced? They're coming for us @DmitryOpines @SamuelMarcLowe @AnnaJerzewska ...

telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/07/1…
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Later this morning the Alternative Arrangements Commission will present their final report and we will see how they responded to criticism of the interim report e.g. below. There's a fundamental distrust problem though which we need to discuss... 1/ britishirishchamber.com/brexit-views-5…
Essentially the #AACommission exists because of the largely unstated view among Brexiteers that the UK Government and / or the EU failed to find obvious solutions to Brexit and the Northern Ireland border because of malice, deviousness, or incompetence. We can do this better 2/
The core technical team working on alternative arrangements were the same group that had been putting out various ERG-sponsored reports for 3 years to say the problem can be solved. These have been consistently criticised and rejected 3/
Read 13 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
It is important to see a no-deal Brexit not as some conspiracy, but potentially the logical conclusion of UK politicians refusing to admit that not everything promised in a referendum was deliverable and compromises would be needed. Which in turn is a terrible future platform
We see the same refusal to confront reality repeated in discussion about a future US trade deal - "they'll have to adopt our food standards" - or most pertinently @BorderIrish - of course we can have no infrastructure even when every other border outside the EU has it
My reply to this sparked many replies agreeing or disagreeing, but you have to remember the context of 2017- the EU having to try to introduce the UK to negotiating reality. If we leave with no-deal that task will pass to the US. They won't be gentle
Read 5 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Rather than learning from the failures of the Theresa May's Brexit negotiation it seems that both candidates are intent on repeating them, only this time shouting rather than talking, as the joke about the English abroad goes.

Let's explain again (thread) all of those mistakes
Mistake 1 - setting no clear realistic outcome

We can all set our negotiating strategy as wanting everything we want, and nothing the other side wants. It doesn't work. And when the other side says no, and you don't have the granular detail of what you want, even less well 2/
Even outside the issues of the Irish backstop, the leadership candidates do not seem to know what relationship they want with the EU in the future beyond no-tariffs. Modern trade is complicated, what of services, regulations etc? 3/
Read 18 tweets

Related threads

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Guy de Jonquières
@guydej1
1. @Jeremy_Hunt says he will pay farmers up to £6bn to offset the cost of higher EU tariffs on UK exports if there is a no-deal Brexit. Whether or not that would be legal under WTO rules, it defies the commitment by developed countries at the 2015 WTO ministerial meeting to
2. end export subsidies by 2018. Furthermore, successive UK governments have long criticised the EU's own export subsidies as one of the most objectionable features of the CAP, which Brexiteers say is a major reason for leaving the EU. Would @Jeremy_Hunt please explain why he is
3. proposing a policy that makes a mockery of Britain's WTO commitments and arguments for leaving the EU? And is this his idea of a "Global Britain" championing free trade around the world?
Read 3 tweets
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John Bull
@garius
One of the things that's REALLY obvious these days, if you're a Wrestling fan, is how shitty populists use social media to build cheap heat and sell storylines. Once you see it, you can never unsee it.

In conclusion, more people should watch Wrestling.
This also holds true for most television interviews of Farage, Boris, Trump and co. too. They're never there to answer questions. They're there to cut a promo about how pumped and right they are.

And how no one should DARE question that unless they want to be crushed.
most interviewers - deliberately or not - play to that. The feed them a line to get a good response.

Particularly true in the US. So many presenters there think they're walking in the footsteps of Edward R Murrow.

They're not. Those footprints belong to Mean Gene Okerlund.
Read 5 tweets
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EFTA 4 UK
@EFTA4UK
1/ This #Get2KnowWTO campaign is really a new low for the hard brexiters. This has gone from moronic flag-waving to something approaching outright disinformation. NO WTO experts think that WTO is a good option for the UK. NONE. #Brexit #WTO
2/ Claim - 164 countries in the world trade under WTO rules - this is what is known as a 'lie of omission'.
3/ "Six of the EU's top 10 trading partners trade under wto rules including the USA."
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Unicorn Shredder: Hard Brexit Truths
- The major economic harm Brexit is already inflicting on the UK
- Reality of "no deal" & WTO terms
- EU "punishment" narrative
- Endangered industries: automotive & haulage
+ much, much more...

(Each tweet is a self-contained thread.)
Jobs are already going, and investment is drying up. Firms are redomiciling assets to the EU27. Ireland plans to bypass the UK entirely and send goods trade directly to the EU. Meanwhile, the UK Government flushes away £billions on no-deal preparations.
The full, horrifying reality of a "no deal" scenario, and what trading on WTO terms really means. The 750+ treaties and trade deals we will be giving up on Brexit Day. Debunking the absurd EU "punishment" narrative.
Read 28 tweets
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Penny Midas Rollo
@PennyMidasRollo
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. A thread on #trade and aid.

One of the first tangible benefits of #Brexit I've seen is the emerging reform of @DFID_UK where it is becoming more of an arm of trade policy than a state owned humanitarian NGO. I would like that to go much further and rethink trade.
2. I do not think we should be wasting too much effort on free trade deals largely because they are of questionable value and encourage inefficient value chains. Any work on tariffs should really be reserved for multilateral activity.
3. Instead we need DfID as the spearhead of our trade policy. There is no reason why we cannot pursue humanitarian goals and enhance our trade while we are at it. For a start we can do a lot with medicines and pharmacy products.
Read 21 tweets

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