Thread by @kabir_here

With ideological fissures within the Democratic Party coming to fore, I looked at self-reported ideology among Dem voters. This thread is based on analysis of Dems/leaners in last month's @CBSNews/@YouGov poll of early states (i.e., nominating contests through Super Tuesday) 1/10

When asked to describe their general political viewpoint, Ds divide roughly equally into three groups: very liberal (31%), somewhat liberal (31%), and moderate or conservative (33%) 2/10

Results that follow are partly about demographics: very liberal Ds tend to be whiter, younger, and more educated. Moderate/conservative are mostly non-white (29% black and 19% Latino), as well as older and more religious than the other two groups 3/10

Very liberal are most engaged at this point in the campaign: most say they're paying a lot of attention and 90% say they will vote in primary/caucus. Three in four tell us they have posted political content on social media, as opposed to just half of moderate/conservative 4/10

Much these groups agree on (e.g., strongly disapprove of Trump), but they have different priorities. Very liberal want to hear about the environment, protecting immigrants, abortion, and race/gender. Moderate/conservative more concerned with job creation and lowering taxes 5/10

Very liberal most likely to say it's important for candidates to refuse money from big donors, while moderate/conservative place more importance on executive experience and shared economic upbringing 6/10

Across all three groups, majorities say candidate's race and gender do not matter to them personally. Among those who do express a preference, very liberal are most likely to want a woman and person of color 7/10

Re: 2020 messaging, very liberal prefer Democrats run on advancing a more progressive agenda than under Obama, while moderates/conservatives want return to normalcy message. Somewhat liberal split 50-50 on this item 8/10

Differences in priorities translate to differences in vote choices (agnostic as to direction of causality): Warren is top choice among very liberal, while Biden is top choice among somewhat liberal and moderate/conservative groups, as of June (we'll update estimates soon!) 9/10

Main reason given for considering Warren: her policy stances
Main reason given for considering Biden: his time as VP with Obama
10/10

More details here on ideological differences between Democrats in early primary states cbsnews.com/news/analysis-…