, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
How much CO₂ can be emitted for 1.5°C?

These scenarios are based on MAGICC, with a fixed TCRE, so the only variation is emission pathway.

The CO₂ that can be emitted depends heavily on non-CO₂, how 1.5°C is defined, & carbon budget definition.

rdcu.be/bHT2C

1/
How much CO₂ can be emitted for 2.0°C?

The same figure for 2°C, with a similar variation...

If a politician asks me what is the carbon budget, what do I say as an honest scientist?

2/
Could it be that the carbon budget concept is useful, but not the actual (uncertain) carbon budget?

So much is vested in the budget concept that it will not go away. But, what is it about the budget concept which is useful? Concept or number?

3/3
cicero.oslo.no/no/posts/klima…
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