, 7 tweets, 2 min read
THREAD
1/

@CPC_HQ casually say there’s no $18 Billion cut to infra. “We will spend the same over longer”

Here’s why that is wrong

1) Two words: Social infra. It’s is $22 B of our national plan. For housing subsidies, repairs, child care spaces, Indigenous community renewal.
2/

If you spend less per year in the context of social infrastructure, it doesn’t just mean you build stuff later - it means you serve less people per year.

It means potentially a smaller Canada Housing Benefit. Fewer child care spaces. Less ability to repair housing stock.
3/

Point 2): Construction costs rise. When you build a 🚊 line you need to know your cash flows a decade out. If you now suddenly have less $ per year, you can do less with a rising price of steel.

That’s why @liberal_party 2019 makes transit funding permanent. $3B+ per year.
4/

Point 3): We have a major infrastructure deficit in this country.

Leaky sewers, decaying housing, potholes on roads.

Thanks to major investments the last number of years the average age of infra stock has actually *started* to decline.

Reducing spending puts that at risk.
5/

As Kevin Page + other economists have noted - this is absolutely the dumbest area to cut funding.

Taking money out of things that grow our productivity (a long-term, secular problem in Canada) isn’t just a delay in projects.

It’s unrealized economic growth.

That’s dumb.
6/

Finally, as economists, we need to be clear what we’re talking about.

Behind the numbers lie people. And lives impacted.

The funding profile for the National Housing Strategy made this possible. Those residents deserve a safe & quality 🏠 to live in. cbc.ca/news/canada/to…
7/

One last last point: cutting infrastructure also means fewer, good paying construction jobs.

For a party that preaches being “For the people” this isn’t that.

A clear statement to hundreds of thousands of women & men on the job site - won’t stand up for them.
#ScheerCuts
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