1/ This isn't a ceasefire - it's a total capitulation to Turkey and the capstone of our abandonment of the Kurds. Don't pay attention to the headline - read the actual agreement. It's effectively surrender.
2/ The pause is to "allow" the Kurds to leave the territory Turkey intends to occupy. So the upside is that the Kurds don't get shot (for 120 hours) as they get doublecrossed by Trump? The agreement basically cements Turkey's long term occupation of Kurdish land.
3/ But the Kurds aren't even a party to the agreement! Parties to a "ceasefire" normally negotiate over it, so that both sides' needs are met. And so now it sets up the Turks to carry on their offensive when they claim the Kurds didn't "comply" w a "ceasefire" they didn't sign.
4/ And...wait for it...we released our sanctions too! So we just gave up the tiny leverage we had to get Turkey out of Syria, or get them to make permanent concessions. We basically legitimized the invasion AND released the sanctions. What a deal.
5/ Finally, by endorsing the occupation, we also implicitly endorsed one of the primary reasons for the occupation - to forcibly settle MILLIONS of refugees in this section of Syria. That's a fundamental human rights violation, and now we've compromised our position on it.
