Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #hts

Most recents (24)

"The Age of Political Jihadism"

- This is an excellent in-depth look at #HTS by @azelin, a group that's changed markedly over the past 5-7yrs & represents an entirely different challenge than its #AlQaeda-aligned predecessor.

washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
@azelin I've been studying #HTS (& JFS & Nusra before it) closely for 11yrs & as @azelin makes clear, it's existed in its current form for longer than its previous, #AlQaeda-aligned Nusra days.

That evolution dates back to at least early-2015, when I wrote this:

huffpost.com/entry/an-inter…
@azelin For an #AlQaeda affiliate born out of #ISIS to become a de facto governing entity that maintains ties to nation states & cooperates with INGOs is no insignificant thing.

Within its NW zone, #HTS has arguably been the most successful anti-#ISIS & AQ actor in #Syria -- but...
Read 5 tweets
1
Iran via #Iraq deployed many dozens Warcraft( stuff to us in war like missiles launchers rocket+drone & jets to #DeirEzzor #Homs after the #Russians reduced it’s troops here & at same times dozens of loyal #Resistance from #عراق joins #IRGC here & #Russia wants to keep pressure
2
Russia wants to keep it’s pressures on zionizt fake state to not be involved in Ukraine!!

That’s the best option to masterpiece minds #Putin!

Tsw #Russian out of #Homs #DeirEzzor & if isrhell airstrikes #IRGC than #Iran ll answer

Why Iran not wish to finish #Idlib? Continues
3
Coz #Sultan_Erdogan ll be happy if #IRGC & #SAA #Hezbollah #AAH #Nujuba #Fatemiyoun getting to have clashes w #ypg #pkk servants of zionizt + #uk #usa but #Turkey not wish see it’s #al_qaeda /#hts #isis getting to be injured😂

Also Iran #Syria wants to face🇺🇸 in #Hadskah! CNTU
Read 4 tweets
Turkish TB2 Drones are proving to be #Ukraine's secret weapon against the #Russian Invasion

Turkish drones are cheap, mobile, and effective at taking out Russian tank convoys

I explain below👇👇🧵
First: here is an example of how #Turkish drones are being used in #Ukraine against #Russian forces

But #Ukraine has only 12 Bayraktar TB2 Drones in its armed forces, far less than it needs to counter #Russia

Important question: Will #Erdogan and #Turkey send more drones to Ukraine?
Read 18 tweets
#ISIS's choice of NW #Idlib as a hiding point for leaders raises complex analytical Qs.

What it does not suggest, is that #Idlib's de facto governing actor, #HTS, is in some way complicit in harboring #ISIS. That's simply factually illogical, given years of open hostility.
#HTS has conducted 100+ deadly raids targeting #ISIS cells in #Idlib since mid-2017 -- & is similarly hostile to #AlQaeda too, having wiped out AQ's operational presence in #Idlib 18 months ago.

Like all non-state actors, #HTS's capacity to know everything is distinctly limited.
Just like the #SDF missed 200-300 #ISIS militants & x2 SVBIEDs crossing 12 of their own checkpoints into #Hasakeh city & al-Sina Prison, #HTS missed a man & his family living in one level of a 3-storey building near #Atmeh -- an area flooded with transitory IDPs communities.
Read 13 tweets
Something big is going down in NW #Syria -- (a) U.S. helicopter gunships firing on a target in the #Jinderes area of #Afrin & (b) a possible SOF raid targeting Tauqir Sharif, a [former] #UK citizen in the Atmeh area of #Idlib.

Personally, I'd be amazed if such an operation was launched at Tauqir Sharif (Abu Hossam al-Britani) -- while his #UK citizenship was revoked, the cause for doing so never seemed more than tenuous.
The house in the #Atmeh area has reportedly been surrounded by [alleged U.S.] SOF -- a loudspeaker just ordered the building to be emptied.



My guess: it's a senior #AlQaeda (Huras al-Din) figure -- HaD seniors are known to hide in the Atmeh area.
Read 41 tweets
#Turkey-#Iraq coordinated #ISIS raid in #Syria.

I suspected this would have been the case -- #Turkey's (MIT) been tracking #ISIS senior movements between NW-NE #Syria in recent months.

Some #HTS (SSG) raids on #ISIS in #Idlib have (I'm told) been conducted on MIT intelligence.
I'm seeing some credible claims that al-Juburi was captured *by* #Turkey in NW #Syria, brought north onto Turkish soil & then handed over to ISF for deportation to #Iraq.

Not confirmed, but would shake things up if true... and raise Qs about whether #HTS played a role too?
#ISIS leader "Jasim was in northwestern #Syria when he was caught with help from local security forces", per @Reuters.

That can only realistically mean #HTS &/or its Salvation Government's General Security Service (GSS).

Fascinating new details.

reuters.com/world/middle-e… Image
Read 6 tweets
La #Russie a demandé de retirer les points turcs de la campagne d'#Idlib. Le journal Al-Araby Al-Jadeed a déclaré à propos de sources turques, les décrivant comme « informés » des réunions turco-russes : « Idlib est actuellement le nœud le plus difficile entre
la Turquie et la Russie, à la lumière du rejet par Moscou des propositions turques liées à la mise en œuvre des accords entre les deux pays, qui exigent la formation d'une zone tampon sur la route internationale M4, et la sécurisation de la route en vue de son ouverture.
D'autre part, la Turquie "après le sommet Erdogan-Poutine a pris plusieurs mesures militaires sur le terrain, qui n'ont pas été acceptées par la partie russe jusqu'à présent, ce qui a incité la Russie à poursuivre l'escalade et à menacer une action militaire dans la région".
Read 9 tweets
Update #Syria :
- Syr. Armee und Idlib-Gruppierungen führen gegenseitigen Beschuss.
- Luftangriffe dauern an.
- Türkei verlegt Truppen nach Idlib.
- Angriffe auf russ. Kampfheli über #Idlib und die Basis #Hmeimim scheitern.
- Erdogan verhandelt morgen mit Putin.
Thread 👇
(1/13)
Die Lage in der syrischen Provinz #Idlib bleibt extrem angespannt.
Es wird mit einer neuen syrischen Offensive auf die Terrorhochburg gerechnet.
Syrische Truppen und die bewaffneten Gruppierungen führen bereits jetzt gegenseitigen Beschuss mit Artillerie.
#Syria #Syrie
(2/13)
Die russischen Luftangriffe auf die Gruppierungen halten ebenfalls weiter an.
Praktisch die gesamte Frontlinie in #İdlip wird durchgeäckert. Man will offensichtlich alle Befestigungen, die die Gruppierungen zuletzt an der Trennlinie eingerichtet haben, vernichten.
(3/13)
Read 13 tweets
Aboe Maria al-Qahtani van HTS (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham), die onder bescherming van #Erdogan staat in Idlib, Noord-Syrië:
'We hebben de mogelijkheid om een islamitische as op te richten tussen #HTS, #Taliban, #Pakistan en #Turkije.'
Qahtani: 'HTS, Taliban, Pakistan en Turkije zetten in tegenstelling tot de Arabische seculiere regimes de islamitische politiek & jihad op hun verdiende plaats.'
Terwijl veel Arabieren afstand nemen van hun uitvinding de #islam, omarmen de Pashtun, Turken, Perzen, ... de islam.
Ze streven allemaal naar islamisering en een strenge shariastaat, maar #Taliban, #AlQaeda, #TTP (Pakistaanse Taliban), #Hamas, #Qatar, #MoslimBroederschap zitten in een concurrentiestrijd met #ISIS.
gazeteduvar.com.tr/cihatcinin-dus…
Read 10 tweets
1. US invaded #Afghanistan after #Taliban refused to hand over Bin Laden after 9/11 attacks.
2. US invaded #Iraq based on tortured “confession” of Ibn al-Sheikh al-Libi that AQ was working with #Saddam to get WMDs.
3. But, just like AQ, there no WMDs in Iraq - until invasion.
4. Abu Musab al-#Zarqawi left Afghanistan to set up AQI in Iraq to fight US.
5. His tactics were so brutal than even AQ central tried to curb them.
6. Shia and Sunni groups who’d both fought occupiers turned on each other while US back one against the other.
7. Abu Ghraib abuse images shocked the world but Enhanced Interrogation Techniques (#torture) first used in Kandahar, Bagram and #CIA ‘black sites.’
8. Alleged AQ & Taliban captives sent to #Guantanamo where General Geoffrey Miller applied US approved torture methods.
Read 8 tweets
The #US has lost control of the airport in Kabul because desperate people flooded the airfield to try to avoid being abandoned to the Taliban by the US. #Afghanistan
The messaging from this administration and its surrogates would be laughable if it wasn't being used to kill thousands of people and rebirth a jihadist regime that threatens us all
Amrullah Saleh, whatever else we have to say about him, consistently tried to get the world to understand that what was happening in his country was a foreign attack from #Pakistan. And he has remained in #Afghanistan, incidentally, whether that is wise
Read 49 tweets
NEW: Just released @UN report warns of "heightened threats emerging" from #ISIS #alQaida affiliated groups worldwide

"This is especially true in parts of West and East #Africa" per the report, based on member state intelligence
In West/East #Africa, affiliates of #ISIS #alQaida "can boast gains in supporters and territory under threat, as well as growing capabilities in fundraising & weapons, for example, in the use of drones" per the @UN report
#ISIS in #Syria "has evolved into an entrenched insurgency, exploiting weaknesses in local security to find safe havens & targeting forces engaged in counter-ISIL operations" per the @UN report
Read 55 tweets
#BLACKLISTED from the #Crumbling #Empire,
Sneeked through its #Feeble #Censoring.

#Imperial #Cohorts Under Constant #Rain of #Fire In Both #Syria & #Iraq by the Middle-East #Resistance.

They stepped on a #Hornet's nest:

👉archive.ph/rtTIX👈from #SouthFront via Archive🤫
#BLACKLISTED from the #Crumbling #Empire,
Sneeked through its #Feeble #Censoring.

An Explosive Week For The #Imperial #Cohorts in the Middle East.
July 7th, 17 rockets by the #Resistance targeted Ain al-Asad Air Base:

👉archive.ph/7Htgy👈from #SouthFront via Archive
#BLACKLISTED by #Crumbling #Empire #Media,
Bypassing its #Feeble #Censoring.

#Turkey is to improve the security of #HTS #Terrorists in Greater #Idlib by pushing towards #Manbij + attempting to capture that #Syrian town.

👉archive.ph/NGTjy👈from #SouthFront via Archive
Read 7 tweets
.@frontlinepbs's documentary on #HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani begins at 10pm EST tonight -- it's already caused shockwaves in the jihadist world.

I've been studying #HTS (& its predecessors) & Jolani's leadership for 10yrs -- the story has profound analytical implications. Image
@frontlinepbs Few could have imagined in 2012-13 that Jolani's Jabhat al-Nusra would years later have a new name & be speaking in quasi nationalist tones; running a semi-technocratic "govt"; proactively engaging w. international NGOs & media; & seeking to establish dialogue w. Western govts.
@frontlinepbs The path between '12 Nusra & '21 #HTS is complex & strewn with inter-factional conflict; vicious internal strife; geopolitical manipulation; and above all, the impact of #Syria's nationwide uprising.

In breaking from #AlQaeda, #Jolani sparked a massive intra-jihadist debate.
Read 32 tweets
With the #Biden administration settled in, there's a clear trend emerging in certain circles to swat away long-standing, complex foreign policy challenges -- and #Syria appears to be low-hanging fruit.

'#Syria doesn't matter,' some say... 'It was just never that important.'
It's good for there to be a debate -- & yes, 'great power competition' (#China, #Russia etc.) ought to be *the* priority.

BUT to shove #Syria aside as a minor inconvenience would be profoundly reckless, given the extraordinary costs it's inflicted on global stability since '11.
So far, arguments in favor of '#Syria doesn't matter' can be broken down into 2 camps:

(1) Those who ignore the profound past, current & future costs altogether - or worse - (2) those who astonishingly claim that #Assad, #Russia & #Iran can resolve the crisis & achieve stability
Read 16 tweets
This is great by @jeromedrev & @patrickhaenni -- #HTS has come to represent something uniquely challenging.

After violently achieving domination (vs. #FSA, #AQ & #ISIS), it's now pursuing a policy of "gradual opening & mainstreamisation," giving concessions & seeking acceptance.
@jeromedrev @patrickhaenni The U.S, #Europe & #Turkey should press #HTS to address concerns & "define clear benchmarks which (if met) could enable HTS to shed its “terrorist” label," argue @dkhalifa & @NoahBonsey.

Doing so would symbolize a new diplomacy+military approach to CT.

crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…
@jeromedrev @patrickhaenni @dkhalifa @NoahBonsey Following yesterday's public revelation of #HTS hosting @FrontlinePBS (& others) in #Idlib, my thread below details how the former #AlQaeda affiliate has adapted in recent yrs & created new realities & challenges/dilemmas we'll have to deal w. eventually:

Read 4 tweets
Very, very interesting.

#HTS & its leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani have just finished hosting @frontlinepbs's @Martin28Smith in #Idlib for 3 days.

How times change -- quite a difference from 2014/15.
@frontlinepbs @Martin28Smith #pt: It's no secret that #HTS has been pushing hard behind-the-scenes for opportunities to improve its image abroad -- first in outreach to researchers/institutes & more recently giving top access to highly-regarded media outlets.

And fwiw, PBS is one of several.
@frontlinepbs @Martin28Smith #pt: That #HTS is pushing this shouldn't come as a surprise -- the ingredients were put in place as far back as 2015, when a prolonged internal debate regarding the right path for Jabhat al-Nusra began. Clerical "lobby groups" got involved & then #JFS was created; then #HTS.
Read 15 tweets
I understand @ishaantharoor may not have chosen the title and that presenting this as a clash of two leaders’ ego is catchy. But this is missing major issues, at least four of them :
1/ How it started: there is a constant disregard in reports for the fact that FR-TUR tensions started and continue in Northeastern #Syria because Ankara’s milit interventions disturbed the fight c/ #ISIS. Why is it important ?
Because the US was the main player on the ground and the failure to find an understanding with TUR led to the escalation we saw in October 2019 when TUR intervened and the US withdrew without consulting its European allies.
Read 15 tweets
So, who joined #IS but has been ordered to keep it quite (by al-Qurashî's audio)? The keeping it quite part IMO rules out groups with a monopoly on jihâdist violence in their area. #IS has never been shy to announce such acquisitions even when this meant international scrunity. /
Cases in point would be its provinces in Libya and the Phillipines whose territorial control was crushed by bombings of international coalitions. I don't think that this approach has changed when looking at Mozambique right now. 2/
The #ISCA province is very much on the offensive and has been noted as a security risk by international actors. The military intervention of a strong local or global force is only a question of time. 3/
Read 15 tweets
Unless it's the case of 2 men with the same name, the name Samer Souad is/was an infamous smuggler who became particularly wealthy from fuel smuggling & black market trading in #Idlib.

Initially linked to Jamal Maarouf, some claimed he was linked to #HTS in recent years.
In addition to Samer Souad, locals also claim influential #HTS commander Abdulqader Tahhan (aka Abu Bilal Qadas) was at the targeted location outside #Salqin.

Qadas was given responsibility for Jisr al-Shughour security, following #HTS's recent crackdown on #AlQaeda loyalists.
Here's an image of the late-night meeting held in Jakara outside #Salqin -- reportedly convening #HTS security officials with other local notables.

Casualties likely to be more than the initially cited "2." Image
Read 15 tweets
#Conflans : le terroriste était en contact avec un djihadiste à #Idleb #Syrie, @jpham_le @jmdecugis @le_Parisien
signe d’une confusion désormais classique dans sa conscience politique, il glorifie #HTS qui est en guerre ouverte contre #AQ & #EI ... leparisien.fr/faits-divers/a…
Une de mes dernières chroniques au sujet de la situation à #Idleb après l’arrestation d’Omar Omsen par #HTS et les raids conduits contre plusieurs « bastions » de Hurraseddine branche #Syrie-nne d’#AlQaeda
J’ai questionné #HTS au sujet des contacts que l’assassin de #SamuelPaty a entrepris avec un russophone à #Idleb
Read 4 tweets

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