ِA thread on #Lebanon: The depth of the protests are much more than expected & does not exclude any leader, including Nasrallah & Hariri. Protests took the political class by surprise, Hariri is expected to deliver a speech soon, here's where things stand politically:
Joumblat wants Hariri to resign & Aoun wants him to convene the government, these contradictory requests are at the core of the country's political crisis, which has nothing to do with the protests: Hariri will have to decide whether to stay in the 2016 presidential deal or exit
#Hezbollah has been concerned about protests in Shiite areas & Nasrallah has been trying to rally political allies to deal with the economic crisis, including the prevention of new taxes. Criticism of Hezb & Berri were unprecedented today, this will impact Nasrallah's calculation
There have been harsh measures against protestors by interior ministry, which signals Hariri not ready yet to resign & will most probably offer some concessions/promise reforms. If protests continue (all businesses closing today) some ministers might resign, pressure will mount.
Here is a video of protestors removing a banner for Hariri in Tripoli, the second major city in #Lebanon with a high rate of poverty, incidentally it has the most wealthy Sunni politicians (including Mikati, Safadi)
facebook.com/plugins/video.…
This protest was in Nabatieh, a symbolic area south of Lebanon considered a stronghold for Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri
We move to the Bekaa Valley, the famous road (called the death road b/c of many car accidents) that links Baalbeck and Zahleh was closed by protestors, this area is a Hezbollah stronghold where many of their fighters come.
While it is hard to cover all Lebanese cities, I will conclude with Jbeil on the coast, a Christian area that is contested between the 2 major Maronite leaders, sends a strong message to the Lebanese President.
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