The @LewesGreenParty have chosen not to support the #RemainAlliance in Lewes constituency in East Sussex.
They believe they can win, partly based upon the District Council results in May.
To support that argument they posted this misleading meme.
I have annotated it.
They believe they can win, partly based upon the District Council results in May.
To support that argument they posted this misleading meme.
I have annotated it.
@LewesGreenParty The Lewes District Council results are available as a PDF here lewes-eastbourne.gov.uk/_resources/ass…
I wrote some code in Node.js to extract the data from this PDF and put into CSV format so that it could be analysed.
I wrote some code in Node.js to extract the data from this PDF and put into CSV format so that it could be analysed.
@LewesGreenParty Here is a link to the code github.com/JimCornelius/s…
@LewesGreenParty Here is a link to a Google Sheet created from the CSV output of the code: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
@LewesGreenParty The Green Party put up 39 candidates in 21 wards, while the Lib Dems put up 30 in 17.
The average vote per candidate and number of seats won per candidate are both higher for the Lib Dems.
The average vote per candidate and number of seats won per candidate are both higher for the Lib Dems.
@LewesGreenParty The Green vote was particularly high in the 'Green bubble' of the town of Lewes, Ringmer Village and a couple of other seats and lower in more rural & coastal seats. Lewes Priory (in town) is shown to illustrate this.
Names in Bold show the three candidates elected for the ward.
Names in Bold show the three candidates elected for the ward.
@LewesGreenParty Seaford and Newhaven are illustrative of the coastal wards where the Green showing was poorer than the Lib Dems.
@LewesGreenParty The LibDems did not contest in 4 of the 21 wards in the district. Of the 8 seats up for grabs in those wards, the Conservatives won 7 of them and Labour the remainder in Peacehaven East and the Green party none.
@LewesGreenParty Of the 17 wards in the district that were contested by the LibDems, the total LibDem vote was higher than the Green Party vote in 11 of them. So the Greens had more votes in only 6 wards where the LibDems contested.
Chailey here is an example.
Chailey here is an example.
@LewesGreenParty For 3 wards the Conservatives were effectively handed 4 seats by the split vote, with the Lib Dems gaining the most votes while the Green Party took enough votes to potentially make the difference.
@LewesGreenParty The @LewesGreenParty and @CllrJohnnyDenis's decision to stand in the #Lewes parliamentary constituency is apparently based upon a belief that they can genuinely win the constituency. But the data presented here suggests otherwise. They are strong in town but not elsewhere.
@LewesGreenParty @CllrJohnnyDenis I believe it is imperative that @CllrJohnnyDenis and @OliHenman have serious talks within the next few days about this; otherwise, the Remain vote in this #Lewes constituency will be split, and Tory ultra-Brexiter Maria Caulfield could very easily be returned to Parliament again.
