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'In Iran itself, where authorities hoped the American killing of Qasem Soleimani would unite ordinary Iranians behind the regime, the opposite has come to pass.'

wsj.com/articles/freed…
Maybe millennial ideology is declining as a force. People are starting to blame the Near Enemy instead of transferring blame to the Far Enemy. Politics is becoming more transactional and less apocalyptic.
This could have significant implications for the Warren/Sanders campaign. Both are betting the voters will prefer abstract socialism to abstract capitalism. Biden on the other hand figures they'll prefer Joe the Man to Donald.
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More from @wretchardthecat see all

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wretchardthecat
@wretchardthecat
Only 5.1% of actual patients in China are manifest says epidemiology model. There are actually 11k patients to rise to 190k by Feb 4. 75% of transmission must occur for it to slow. Current quarantine probably doomed.

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
"Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage."
Correction 75% must be prevented to slow.
Read 4 tweets
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wretchardthecat
@wretchardthecat
The Chinese are low-balling it by a factor of 5. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
A totalitarian govt like China has no clear advantage in dealing with unexpected disasters. What they may gain in ruthlessness of response cannot compensate for belatedness caused by official denial.
The Narrative is your enemy. God and math always beat Pravda. It's not even close.
Read 5 tweets
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wretchardthecat
@wretchardthecat
It probably stopped being about policy a long time ago. It's about unyielding hostility now.
And it will continue long after any hope of a restoration has passed. Vengeance for paradise lost "in this life or the next".
If Hillary had been suited to the role she could have been the Democratic Arthur, the last of the Romans before the dark ages. The quondam et futurus president. But she keeps flubbing her lines.
Read 6 tweets

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Julie Laumann
@Otpor17
"The Iraqi leader asked @SecPompeo to “send delegates to Iraq to prepare a mechanism to carry out the parliament’s resolution regarding the withdrawal of foreign troops from Iraq."

#Iraq PM tells US to start working on troop withdrawal apne.ws/b3frZ5p
PM Mahdi: “#Iraq is keen on keeping the best of relations with its neighbors and its friends in the international community."

Iraqi prime minister asks U.S. to start talks on troop withdrawal
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Not an imminent threat, not national security, but saving his own criminal arse.

"After the strike, #Trump told associates he was under pressure to deal with #Soleimani from GOP senators he views as important supporters in his Senate #impeachment trial." wsj.com/articles/trump…
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TMV_Research
@TMV_Research
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@BarackObama did not take out
#Qasem #Soleimani a US listed terrorist because he was in negotiations with #QasemSoleimani with the #Iran #NuclearDeal

#iraqattack
#ukraineplanecrash

hudson.org/research/11436…

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Under @BarackObama intelligence was actually passed to #iran's terrorist faction #Hezbollah ,
Warning them of a pending attack.
US weapons were ending up in their hands.
#JohnKerry has been helping Iran avoid sanctions, negotiated with IRGC #Solemani

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Of course the @BarackObama @JoeBiden were aware sending 1.7 Billion in Cash to #Iran would fund terrorists like #QassemSuleimani
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Adam Milstein
@AdamMilstein
Since 1984, Iran has been defined as a state sponsor of terrorism by the US State Department. While pleading innocence, they are developing nuclear weapons and igniting all of the Middle East. Will they continue to deceive us?
.@realDonaldTrump is dispatching additional forces to Saudi Arabia following the Iranian attack on oil facilities which temporarily halved the kingdom’s oil production. No one is seriously accepting the "homeless" Houthi rebels' claim of responsibility cnbc.com/2019/09/20/the…
Britain, France and Germany joined the US in blaming Iran for attacks on key oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, saying there is no other plausible explanation for strike on key facilities, while Iran continues to play its denial game apnews.com/ee973164333e44…
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Kyle Orton
@KyleWOrton
So ...

■ Obama never would do anything to hinder #Iran, let alone strike directly

■ Even on PJW's terms, Trump can hardly claim credit for sparing people from orders he gave, BUT

■ Trump never gave orders to attack; this is messaging in search of a summit and "better deal"
DoD prepared contingencies for strikes on #Iran, and Trump turned them down when asked for approval.

Some officials got the impression on the day Trump supported strikes, but in the middle of that day he also said Iran's attack could be an "accident". washingtonpost.com/politics/i-sto…
Note: nothing got past the planning stage.

Trump never gave an order to attack #Iran that was revoked.

The administration's spinning it that way in the aftermath via the controlled leak is part of the attempt to gain leverage without actually doing anything to get to new talks.
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Security Studies Group
@SecStudiesGrp
Iran is signaling that it will buck U.S. efforts to roll back its military presence in the Middle East, moving to cement foreign alliances and continuing to project power abroad despite sanctions that have helped put intense pressure on its economy. wsj.com/articles/iran-…
Tehran signed a long-term security pact with Syria in August, and has kept up the flow of arms and financial support to proxy forces around the region.
U.S. of­fi­cials ac­knowl­edge #Iran hasn’t stepped back from its as­sertive pos­ture and say Iran­ian ship­ments of mis­siles and some ad­vanced arms around the re­gion have even ac­cel­er­ated. But they also note that the tough­est sanc­tions are yet to come...
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Karol 🍃
@karolcummins
🌲MuirWoods🌲

Remember to take breaks, enjoy the beautiful world around us & re-energize

The majority of voters agree ICE is in need of reformation.

Calls for ICE abolishment helps Trump HARMs DEMs.

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🌲MuirWoods2🌲

Abolishment of ICE w/o replacement endangers our NatSec, gives Transnational Org Crime & child pornographers a free pass & hamstrings law & order.

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🌲MuirWoods3🌲

North Korea has increased nuclear production at secret sites, say U.S. officials

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