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Crypto climate prediction market

1) Build an oracle that takes 10000+ decentralized thermometers and puts their measurements on-chain

2) Allow pseudonymous bets on future average temperatures

3) Collect money for being right
There are several IoT outdoor thermometers now. Here’s one: sensorpush.com/products/ht1
Here’s a $5 DIY version, though you would need to harden this against the elements: iotwithus.com/diy-smart-ther…
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Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
Digital quarantine is here.

It appears that folks who fled Wuhan have been digitally quarantined, likely via WeChat. Their apps don’t work outside the quarantine zone.

Now that’s happened to 240 Uber users in Mexico exposed to the infected.

Complex issue! A thread…🧵
First, Wuhan is a city in crisis. The healthcare system has crashed. You do not want that in your city, or country. This is not an illusory threat.

So, a quarantine. Stop this from spreading. Free movement suddenly has externalities.

But how efficient should that quarantine be?
It’s hard to argue that the Wuhan quarantine should be porous. Or that contagious riders should spread to drivers. That’s how the whole system crashes, as in Wuhan.

Yet the potential for long-term abuse here is so obvious.
Read 7 tweets
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Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
I hadn’t even thought yet about the degree of digital surveillance that may have kicked in.

Forget traditional epidemiological contact tracing. For every infected, the Chinese government can pull up their location history and find every other cellphone that was nearby.
Obvious potential for abuse. But this is that rare situation where many would opt in to being tracked.

It could help determine the people and behaviors spreading the coronavirus. Literally a life & death issue. Far more immediate than terrorism or crime.
As you go from crime, to terrorism, to pandemics the frequency decreases but severity increases.

Governments ask for powers in times of crisis. They will be granted them. They may use them to solve the crisis. Then they often eventually abuse them.

Both crisis & abuse are real.
Read 4 tweets
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Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
Face masks go mainstream in the 2020s.

1) Starts as protection against infection, pollution
2) Then privacy, to defeat face recognition
3) Then people realize: less time on makeup, hair
4) Eventually, standard piece of clothing. Both privacy and hygiene.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
Many systems exhibit hysteresis. Even after the shock of the coronavirus dissipates, hopefully once a vaccine is widely deployed, a new normal with respect to face masks will have been established within China at a minimum.
Face masks are a missing piece of the pseudonymous economy thesis:

For people to truly be pseudonymous, they'd need to cover their face in public & reveal only to the trusted. Tech like cvdazzle.com did exist, but this is how it goes mainstream
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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CryptoNephilim
@cryptonephilim
[THREAD]
Google Censorship, Political Bias, & Blacklist

• Censors Search Results To Swing Elections
• Google Engineers Leaks Blacklist and Election Meddling
• Censors Top Health Sites While Investing Billions In Pharma
• Decentralized, Open-Source, Privacy-Focused Solutions
1/ Google's mission statement "to organize the world's information and make it universally accessible and useful"

As the #1 visited website in the world it receives 5.6 billion searches per day controlling ~90% of global search traffic.

theconversation.com/google-at-20-h…
2/ Our minds, political beliefs, and world views are inseparably linked to Google's search results.

Unfortunately, whistleblowers and google engineers have come forward to share compelling evidence that Google is no longer an objective source of information.
Read 33 tweets
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Chris Burniske
@cburniske
#Crypto developer bull market can be seen in @ZeppelinOrg's #OpenZeppelin downloads, w/ thousands of daily downloads and 400,000 total in 2018:
The team's newer @zeppelin_os is showing similar momentum, though earlier in its lifecycle. ~7% week-over-week growth for the 2nd half of the year.
As #crypto investors have been fleeing, developers have been flocking, drawn to these "can't-be-evil" platforms where the permission to innovate is endless.
Read 3 tweets
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Jimmy Ragosa
@JimmyRagosa
1/ Let's take a trip down #Crypto memory lane together !🗓️

The year is 2014. In the middle of the bear market, #Bitcoin enthusiasts are still optimist about the potential of their cryptocurrency and a book "Bitcoin for the Befuddled" is published to explain it to novices.
2/ One specific extract from this book was then published as a blog post and stood out in my memory: “A Typical Day in a Blockchain-Enabled World Circa 2030”. ⛓️

blockchainfutureslab.wordpress.com/2016/02/27/a-t…
3/ In this chapter, we follow Crowley 🐊 the humanoid crocodile character as his day unfolds in a #hyperbitcoinized world and witness his interactions with smart contracts and programmable money.
Read 18 tweets
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Matthew Willemsen
@mwill_crypto
0/ What a hot start to the week for the #crypto and #blockchain ecosystem!

To help you keep up-to-date, here are just *some* of the developments out of the past ~24 hours' action...
1/ 🦅 #Ethereum-powered @AragonProject [ $ANT ] introduced the Flock program; the team's next step in decentralizing the development of #Aragon.

Flock will handle the initial application and pre-selection process for new Aragon teams. blog.aragon.org/flock-funding-…
2/ ⚖️ @NexoFinance [ $NEXO ] opened up applications for prospective liquidity providers.

The #crypto lending platform is guaranteeing a 1:1 conversion to USD on any of six #stablecoin (i.e., $USDT, $TUSD, $GUSD, $USDC, $DAI, $PAX). Minimum stake of $100k. Interest up to 6.5%.
Read 37 tweets
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Chris Burniske
@cburniske
1/ Why is #crypto falling so much in 2018? Because in 2017 the market was up > 30x, but adoption (beyond investing & trading) wasn’t concurrently up 30x.
2/ One can try to explain each fluctuation, but these explanations are frequently stories we tell ourselves, stretching to add reason to traders driving a bear market.
3/ The macro story I tell myself is “financial reality” divorced from utility fundamentals in 2017, and so we have to (expectedly) course correct.
Read 8 tweets

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