I watched all of this interview and felt it was balanced/professional enough to recommend you watch as well.
Absent public health interventions... Dr Gabriel Leung Dean of Medicine in Hong Kong offers the following best-guess projections: 1/4
Absent public health interventions... Dr Gabriel Leung Dean of Medicine in Hong Kong offers the following best-guess projections: 1/4
Dr Leung... 2/4
1. Fatality rate of 3-5% is underestimated (SARS was 17%). Data needs time to track from Infection to Symptoms, Diagnosis, Treatment + Result (recovery or death).
1. Fatality rate of 3-5% is underestimated (SARS was 17%). Data needs time to track from Infection to Symptoms, Diagnosis, Treatment + Result (recovery or death).
Dr Leung... 3/4
2. Current Rate of Infected Cases (2.13) likely underestimated. For now, EVERY 6 days, the case count doubles.
3. Transmission Rate is underestimated. Wuhan as epicenter of epidemic is also where 53% of ALL International travel from China takes place.
2. Current Rate of Infected Cases (2.13) likely underestimated. For now, EVERY 6 days, the case count doubles.
3. Transmission Rate is underestimated. Wuhan as epicenter of epidemic is also where 53% of ALL International travel from China takes place.
Dr Leung... 4/4
4. Contagion Rate is roughly 2 week lag to infect other Chinese regions (Beijing, Macau, etc) at current rate of infected cases.
5. WUHAN NOT LIKELY TO PEAK IN CASE COUNT UNTIL APRIL/MAY.
#CoronaVirus
$SPX $VIX
4. Contagion Rate is roughly 2 week lag to infect other Chinese regions (Beijing, Macau, etc) at current rate of infected cases.
5. WUHAN NOT LIKELY TO PEAK IN CASE COUNT UNTIL APRIL/MAY.
#CoronaVirus
$SPX $VIX
