Some #nCoV2019 thoughts this morning:
There are many more cases than confirmed to this point and the low overall mortality rate is good...
but, both SARS/MERS have a long period between onset and median day of death (~12 days). Damage to lung is what kills and can take time
There are many more cases than confirmed to this point and the low overall mortality rate is good...
but, both SARS/MERS have a long period between onset and median day of death (~12 days). Damage to lung is what kills and can take time
Keeping an eye on severe cases (13%). If they require ventilators, these are people likely to succumb. Even with numbers skewed toward severe cases, this is worrisome.
Even if these people survive, they may never regain lung function/capacity. Their lives won't be the same
Even if these people survive, they may never regain lung function/capacity. Their lives won't be the same
@HelenBranswell wrote about survivors of SARS 10 years after the outbreak. A good time to revisit tgam.ca/2Ovzw9C
Also, there is warning about possibility of reinfection with nCoV-2019. Until I see data, I am dubious of reinfection .
It is more likely the person never cleared virus & it returned. In the short term, if a person clears virus, they are not likely to get reinfected.
It is more likely the person never cleared virus & it returned. In the short term, if a person clears virus, they are not likely to get reinfected.
The caveat is that neutralizing antibodies to CoVs wane quickly. This may mean life long protection is not possible.
MERS data shows survivors lose much of neutralizing antibodies by a year. Not clear if true for nCoV. Also unclear if these people can get reinfected with MERS
MERS data shows survivors lose much of neutralizing antibodies by a year. Not clear if true for nCoV. Also unclear if these people can get reinfected with MERS
