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THREAD on the state of Dem race: 1-Bernie Sanders is not even close to being the nominee yet, peeps getting way ahead of themselves. Clinton owned Bernie on 1st Super Tuesday and it was clear from that point on that he was done. It was a two-way race and she was getting well over
2- 50% of the delegates in the vast majority of the states she was winning. He's nowhere near averaging over 50% of delegates. He's won 2/2 caucuses, contests ideally suited to him and that inflate his level of support but there are only 2 more: North Dakota and Wyoming
3-the rest are all primaries. In the ONE primary we've had so far, he BARELY beat Buttigieg in New Hampshire, a lily-white state RIGHT next door to his native Vermont and where he had more than twice as much a % of the voters before.
4- I was only telling his people to STFU and concede once it was clear she would be nominee (before that I was just criticizing him and his candidate's behavior, not saying time to pack up). After NH, Clinton's giant leads in key Super Tuesday states and in SC were consistent
5-Bernie never came close to challenging her in those major contests. He put up a good fight but kept going WAY past the time it was clear he would not be the nom. WE're not at that point at all or even near it for Sanders & there is a good chance he will not be the nominee still
6-So, it's still a fair fight and fighting time. Bernie has had some advantages that will essentially go away (almost no more caucuses, way more diverse states) & if moderate lane closes ranks they are very much still in it. Biden makes the most sense but we'll see what happens.
7-IF it's clear Bernie will have a majority of delegates at some point, then I will stand down as he prepares for a one-on-one against Trump, the opposite of what he and his supporters did well into July for Bernie and beyond for his people
8-If he will only have a plurality of delegates I will support the combined majority of non-Bernie delegates uniting behind one of their own & Bernie would do the same here if, say, Biden was ahead but only with a plurality, & he had threatened to dot that to Clinton. Hypocrite!
9-SO, take heart sensible Dems! A LOT can happen between now-Super Tues. Bloomberg may be tanking, Clyburne is almost certain to endorse Biden Weds night. Hell, maybe Obama will realize his entire legacy is in jeopardy & jump in. Others in Super Tues states likely to rally to Joe
10-& I didn't flip on out in 2016 at Bernie supporters for criticizing Hillary cuz she was frontrunner. I first criticized them for their aggressive, bullying, misogynistic, vicious behavior & insane talking points about Hillary and some of Bernie's ideas. realcontextnews.com/i-declare-war-…
11-I criticized him for his constant smears of her as "corrupt" and for constantly attacking the Democratic Party he was trying to lead and for false and misleading attacks on both Clinton & media in addition to his policy weaknesses. realcontextnews.com/this-map-prove…
12-Sanders operated as if he knew nothing about the political realities in the United States and I called him out for it and rightly so realcontextnews.com/this-map-prove…
13-Most of all, I attacked them later for way they kept this up when it was clear after Super Tuesd it was almost impossible for him to be nom & Clinton had HUGE delegate lead (close to 200) & shortly after that, it was never less than a 200-delegate lead. fivethirtyeight.com/features/was-t…
14-Right now, Bernie is 15 delegates ahead of Pete and 26 ahead of Biden, that's it. Iowa had 41 pledged delegates, NH 24, NV 36. SC had 54 available, more than each of those. So Biden may be the frontrunner after SC, in less than a week!
15-The race is still clearly volatile and up for grabs, but Bernie as the nominee is like throwing a Hail Mary opening drive of overtime that Trump & GOP Trump will intercept and run back for a touchdown. Biden is the smart approach: good running and modest passing game to win!
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