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Government has just told BBC that Coronavirus/COVID19 is to be formally registered as a "notifiable disease", after our enquiry about concerned English businesses unable to claim losses related to outbreak on insurance policies...
BBC learnt yesterday business groups expressed concerns directly to UK Govt at meeting with Defra, as Scottish Government had already made Coronavirus notifiable last month. The @Foodanddrinkfed described the lack of notification as "ludicrous". Wasn't in yesterdays action plan.
We also spoke to a range of small businesses who had been told by insurers that the policy doesn't kick in until a Government puts a disease on the notifiable list, alongside SARS, measles, plague etc. Also now compulsory under 1984 act for doctors to notify even suspected cases.
HEalth professionals told us that the structures around centralised testing for COVID19 mean that Public HEalth England already have much of the data they would have had from earlier declaration - but the move has important legal consequences
Indeed it is a bit of a mystery why it wasn't done earlier - Scotland did it on Feb 22nd, Ireland and Northern IReland last week, Guernsey on Monday. There will now be some hefty insurance payouts for some businesses with the correct insurance...
DHSC told me:
“We want to ensure any steps taken to protect the public
during the COVID-19 outbreak are proportionate and do not come at an
unnecessary social or economic cost.
“To mitigate the impact on businesses, we will register
COVID19 as a notifiable disease...
DHSC, continued... "This will help companies seek compensation
through their insurance policies in the event of any cancellations they may
have to make as a result of the spread of the virus.”
That came through at 11pm last night after we had asked for a right of reply from Government for the story we were doing for @BBCr4today as to why it had not been made notifiable.

It rather appears Government is rather interested in what is going to be on the Today programme,
FULL Story here:
bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
My colleague @BBCSimonJack story on how, despite promise to make Coronavirus “notifiable” insurance industry is pushing back on idea business disruption policies all pay out..

Broadly insurance industry thinks it wont be shouldering the burden of this bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
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More from @faisalislam see all

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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
The logic of not moving to delay/ social distancing, and for example pre announcing but not enacting the notion of self isolation even for mild coughs etc is that behavioral scientists say the costs of going too early will mean people get bored and stop isolating later...
also timing effect from seasonal flu dying down, that Government calculates is material for a 10 day- two week holding off of bigger measures..

calculation must be that impact of people getting bored too early and confusion from seasonal flu worse than 2 week spread to thousands
call from Govt and its experts... that either Italy path won’t be followed, or -ves of this, less than flu/boredom impact

Italy 2 weeks ago (24/2): 219 cases, 5 deaths.
(UK now - 319 cases, 5 deaths)

Italy today: 7985 positive cases, 9172 total. 463 deaths. Country locked down.
Read 8 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Govt studying these weekend ideas carefully... suggests VAT cut if corona econ hit forecast to be well over 0.2% pencilled in by OECD. in past Chancellors gone for VAT cut because “timely, temporary & targeted”... if OECD right BoE cuts might be enough resolutionfoundation.org/publications/a…
The key issue is supply chain finance, obviously, and working capital through a quarantine period, and existing flexibility for banking system to support economy. This is Bank of England as well as Treasury issue.
Back on VAT - this is an interesting collection of cuts made to collection and some VAT rates around world as a response to coronavirus, cuts to main rate though, not typical: avalara.com/vatlive/en/vat…
Read 3 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Italy’s Deputy Economy Minister, Laura Castelli @LaCastelliM5s from the Five Star Movement saying decree tomorrow will suspend mortgages and taxes:
“ Mortgages suspended? Mortgages, taxes, everything is suspended.
But we need to look at the situation of the municipalities”
precedent for this in Italy in relation to earthquakes/ natural disasters, looks like it comes from agreement between central Government and banking sector. Can’t see that its ever been applied Italy-wide before. Big fiscal cost.

creditofondiario.eu/en/regulations…

cdp.it/sitointernet/p…
Ministers in Italy have also said they have asked for changes for six months to how Italian regulator treats problem loans in its banking sector
Read 6 tweets

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Dan McMurtrie
@SuperMugatu
The correct framing on #coronavirus #COVIDー19 risks, and why the death rate of the virus is irrelevant:
Death is the most emotional subject we as humans must deal with. And we all must deal with it. But there is no truly rational way to deal with death. There are ways one could argue make life while living more enjoyable, but rationality is out of the question.
So, one of the primary ways we as humans deal with death is to create a heuristic about death. We think of deaths as normal or tragic. A 95-year-old passing away in their sleep surrounded by loved ones? We have a “celebration of life” rather than a grim funeral.
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Carolyn B. Brodersen
@BroderWriter
From James Robb, MD FCAP (thread via @SusanVermazen)

"When I was a professor of pathology at UC San Diego, I was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses (in the 70s).

#CoronaVirus
#COVIDー19
@thespybrief
"I was the first to demonstrate the number of genes the virus contained. Since then, I have kept up with the coronavirus field and its multiple clinical transfers into the human population (e.g., SARS, MERS), from different animal sources.
"The current projections for its expansion in the US are only probable, due to continued insufficient worldwide data, but it is most likely to be widespread in the US by mid to late March and April. Here is what I have done and the precautions that I take and will take.
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Konatham Dileep
@KonathamDileep
Important update about Coronavirus COVID-19 case reported in Hyderabad. A 24 year old techie who works in Bengaluru had traveled to Dubai on 17th Feb on official work. Apparently few of his teammates came from Hongkong. He came back to India after four days. 1/n
The said techie came to Hyderabad from Bengaluru in a bus. He fell sick after reaching Hyderabad and took initial treatment at Apollo Hospitals, Secunderabad branch. The patient is now transferred to Gandhi hospital and is being treated in isolation ward. 2/n
CM Sri KCR has instructed the Health Dept and Municipal Administration Department to take necessary precautions. Isolation wards have been set up in Gandhi Hospital and Chest Hospital in Hyderabad.
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Dr. Chris Mackie
@Healthmac
A thread on why I am not panicking about #Coronavirus #COVID-19.
In 2003, the world experienced an outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome). I was in med school. Initially, the illness seemed to be linked with travel to China, but the Chinese government was not saying anything about it.
The cause of SARS was completely unknown, and it was five months between the illness first appearing and the World Health Organization (WHO) becoming significantly involved, alerting public health authorities around the world.
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Abdul El-Sayed
@AbdulElSayed
Want to understand why we're dealing with the scepter of serious #Coronavirus #COVIDー19 outbreaks in the US?

The @realDonaldTrump admin's profound mismanagement.

A Thread:

The public health approach to stopping an infectious disease is about "contact tracing."

1/
Contact tracing is painstaking work. It involves identifying all of the known or potential contacts of someone who has the disease in question, finding them, and then isolating them--and then rinsing and repeating.

It's a serious test of your gov's abilities.

2/
It requires that:

1) Gov't is funded appropriately to do this work
2) Gov't employees trust higher-ups to give them bad news, rather than pretend that cases don't exist.
3) Ppl trust their gov't to protect them--and to share information with them

3/
Read 10 tweets
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Rev. Scott Anthony ⭐️⭐️⭐️
@ScottAnthonyUSA
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