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Doctors should be diagnosing Coronavirus based upon medical principles including history, physical exam, lab tests and imaging, and isolating/treating conservatively, and not waiting for the scarce tests. They can confirm later. @cdipaola62 @hjluks
Severe cases, being predominantly tested now, are almost certain and going to be treated anyway. Focus tests on the cases that are most ambiguous. (This can be derived fron information theory: use tests that provide the most information). Testing can confirm other cases later.
More precise: Perform tests that influence impactful decisions / outcomes the most (Conditional information).
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More from @yaneerbaryam see all

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Yaneer Bar-Yam
@yaneerbaryam
BREAKING: Coronvirus Outbreak. One week after Italy's national lockdown (8 days after the north), Italy has three days with same number of new cases. This means 5 days after lockdown cases leveled off, consistent with typical incubation period of 3-5 days. This is good news.
Europe is closing in on Italy. Several countries moving to national lockdowns, so we can hope for stabilization in 5 days. Those that delay, will suffer longer.

Spain with national lockdown. France locking down Paris. Switzerland not yet. Germany still waiting for something.
Other EU countries report local transmission

Iran reported 1,289, 1,365, 1,209 last three days. Recent trend only has today as a decline, need to see what's next.

Singapore 31 new yesterday, 17 today, records.
Malasia totals jumped 238 -> 553
Russia totals jumped 34 -> 63
Read 5 tweets
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Yaneer Bar-Yam
@yaneerbaryam
How to stop an outbreak (and why China won't have to reimpose restrictions)

Squares represent individuals: grey susceptible; yellow latent; red infected and contagious; black deceased or recovered; and light blue are isolated. 1/2

necsi.edu/beyond-contact…
Colored blocks represented communities: grey unrestricted; blue are past monitoring and confirmed unexposed; yellow no active infections but are still being monitored; and red have active and infectious cases. 2/3
After the outbreak is recognized, community screening is put in place. At first there are a lot of red communities, but, as containment goes into effect, red zones become surrounded by yellow and begin to contract until every community is blue, or cleared. 3/3
Read 4 tweets
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Yaneer Bar-Yam
@yaneerbaryam
BREAKING: Coronavirus Update. Hard to see the world in flames, more so that we know that the incredible suffering and death could have been avoided, and every day, actions that are taken can make a huge difference.

Global confirmed cases exceed 10,000 and 433 deaths today.
Actions taken today impact in 4 days, today we see actions 4 days ago. We still need to see Italy's lockdown. Record cases 2,651 yesterday, today a bit lower, 2,547. This might be a start, we will see in the next few days.
Spain 2,086 today, declares emergency. Declarations don't affect the epidemic.

Spain passed other European countries in the path they are all following towards Italy.
Read 7 tweets

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Social Justice SRE
@hashoctothorpe
Okay, I may regret this, but friends have been asking why masks are necessary for medical workers and not helpful in public, so I am gonna try to explain how both those things can be true because the official messaging I've seen is terrible. Feel free to RT #coronavirus
Things to consider when deciding whether to listen to me: I am currently an incident response professional, so I have a lot of professional experience in coordinating the collection of large amounts of data, figuring out what we know and how we know it, and making decisions fast.
My first professional training (a long time ago) was in microbiology and genetics. I briefly worked in a clean room culturing mammalian cells, and have worn personal protective equipment (PPE) in that context. I have done a few PCR assays (the kind of test used to
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The Independent
@Independent
#Coronavirus latest:

- UK reveals plan to tackle outbreak
- Expert says 10,000s could die
- WHO warns ‘we are in uncharted territory’

Follow our live updates:

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
#Coronavirus latest:

- Pope tests negative for virus
- People should 'go about normal lives', says UK Health Sec

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
#Coronavirus latest:

- Germany reports 31 new cases of virus
- The number of has risen to 188, up from 157 yesterday afternoon

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
Read 31 tweets
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Memelord
@dailydigger19
New #Coronavirus thread starts now. Click this tweet and scroll up and you'll eventually get back to January 23rd. Have fun with that.
Starting soon.
#Coronavirus situation in Iran among the grimest
Read 445 tweets
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Dr. Chris Mackie
@Healthmac
A thread on why I am not panicking about #Coronavirus #COVID-19.
In 2003, the world experienced an outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome). I was in med school. Initially, the illness seemed to be linked with travel to China, but the Chinese government was not saying anything about it.
The cause of SARS was completely unknown, and it was five months between the illness first appearing and the World Health Organization (WHO) becoming significantly involved, alerting public health authorities around the world.
Read 46 tweets
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Tyler Young
@tylerisyoung
CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19)
This is a roundup of what I found to be the most interesting & helpful sources on my journey into the void. #Coronavirus #Pandemic #Misinformation #CDC #CPP #WHO
This is for friends & family, but also to raise concern over media censorship & begin a discussion of what are best practices for both traditional & decentralized media outlets. This is a collection of sources to tell a larger story and spark interest.
Very few sources peer reviewed. Some behind paywalls. Some mainstream news. Some International News. Some in other languages (Use chrome). Some Harvard medical Journals. Some unverified. Some factually incorrect. Have some salt with your rice & beans.
Read 132 tweets
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Memelord
@dailydigger19
OH CRAP I DID IT AGAIN. Time for a new #Coronavirus thread
Another suicide in #Coronavirus-ridden China
China’s Hubei to add #Coronavirus cases back to tally after methodology change
reuters.com/article/us-chi…
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#Newsbud #Singapore #BibleVerse #COVID19 #İyiParti #Rome #Wuhan #socialdistancing #UME #coronavirus #PatriotsUnited #periopmedicine #covid2019 #COVIDtruth #MA #ChinaCoronaVirus #COVID #BioGen #COVID2019 #Christian #cardiac #China #Coronavirus #CDC #FrankPlummer

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