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Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
@apurvansheth
Jul 20, 2020 • 3 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Nifty PE Ratio at 28.86 (Highest level in 2020)

Nifty has moved from 'Screaming Sell' to 'Buy' to a 'Screaming Sell' once again in 12 months.

#Nifty #nifty50 #PEratio #Pricetoearnings ImageImageImage
Heres a similar view based on a study of different parameters...
We are in the 6th consecutive weekly rally in nifty. The previous two longest rallies in last 5 yrs lasted for 8 and 7 weeks in Jan-2018 and Apr-2019 resp. All three rallies are 15 months apart from each other.

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More from @apurvansheth

Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Oct 19, 2020
Do you believe #markets are #cyclical in nature?
Do you think #history #rhymes, if not #repeats?
Do you agree #greed and #fear are two main forces in the market?
If answer of above Q's is yes then following tweets will solidify ur view if its a no then they will change ur view.
Above is a monthly chart of #Sensex. It goes through an alternating #greedandfear cycle of 8 years. Sensex moves up in greed phase and consolidates in fear phase. It was up 469% in greed phase of 1992. was up only 20% from 1992 to 2000. From 2000 to 2008 it was up 271%.
In fear phase of 2008 to 2016 it was up only 48%. #Sensex has entered greed phase in 2016 and will stay there till 2024. So far its up more than 50%. But the story doesnt end there. The sectors which move up during these phases also go through a cycle.
Read 22 tweets
Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Sep 28, 2020
Have you ever felt that you have lived the present situation before? Its called #Déjàvu. Right now I'm experiencing this moment in the markets. #PSUBanks are going through tough times. But this isnt new. They were in a similar situation back in 2016. (1/n)
#PSUBanks were dealing with NPA's and losses in Mar 2016. Their troubles are amplified after the #COVIDー19 outbreak. But it seems worst is over. Here's a weekly chart of #NiftyPSUBank index. (2/n) ImageImage
#PSUBanks are forming bullish divergence in #RelativeStrengthIndex(RSI) on weekly charts. #RSI is a momentum indicator. Bullish divergence in it indicates that ongoing downtrend is losing steam. It doesnt guarantee a reversal but increases the chances. (3/n) Image
Read 12 tweets
Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Aug 31, 2020
#Market #breadth is weak despite 100 point gap up in #nifty...quite unusual considering the recent rally in broader markets👀 Lets see if it catches up during the day
#Humptydumty #nifty had a great fall...is this the #top?
Declining stocks outweighed advances early in the day this was an indication of things to come.

#advancedecline #nifty #triplecentury Image
Read 5 tweets
Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Aug 28, 2020
I believe #ratio #charts are one of the most underrated and underutilized tools in #technicalanalysis. Do you agree?
Ever wondered which stock to chose between the two?

#HDFC or #HDFCBank?
#TCS or #Infosys?
#HeroMoto or #BajajAuto?
#ACC or #Ambuja?
#BPCL or #HPCL?
#BajajFinserv or #Bajajfinance?

But don't know whats the best approach to pick one?
#Ratio #charts can help you identify the best stock for #trading and #investment. You can plot a #ratiochart by dividing the price on one stock with another. Its preferable to divide the high priced stock with low priced one to get ratios greater than 1.
Read 13 tweets
Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Jul 6, 2020
I am building up on the concept of #RTM shared by @heartwon in this post -

#RTM = Short-Term Mvng Avg (5DEMA) / Longer-Term Mvng Avg (20 DEMA)

He adds another #RTM: 4 Week EMA / 12 Week EMA on the #charts to get a holistic view
So the two #RTM's work like a MACD except that an #MACD plots the absolute difference between 2 mvng avgs. But since we are dividing one avg with another in #RTM we can use it to compare one stock with another which we cant do in a MACD.
I have applied the concept of RTM on F&O stocks and come up with some insights. If the daily #RTM value is above the Weekly #RTM value then I define the trend as bullish. Then I calculate the difference between Daily and weekly #RTM's across F&O stocks. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Jun 13, 2020
My friend @VMK100 sent me this insightful short note on mental fitness for traders by @normanhallett. I'm summarizing the points worth learning in this thread for the benefit of #trading community. Image
1. You've got a superb #tradingsystem...so why are you losing?

You are not in control of your #emotions.
2. Why are you not able to limit your losses and let your profits run?

You have been taking the losing personally which doesn't allow you to take losses.

It’s not about YOU. It’s about THE MARKET. If you don’t take your emotions out of it,
you don’t have a shot.
Read 20 tweets

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