Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
Aug 28, 2020 13 tweets 15 min read Read on X
I believe #ratio #charts are one of the most underrated and underutilized tools in #technicalanalysis. Do you agree?
Ever wondered which stock to chose between the two?

#HDFC or #HDFCBank?
#TCS or #Infosys?
#HeroMoto or #BajajAuto?
#ACC or #Ambuja?
#BPCL or #HPCL?
#BajajFinserv or #Bajajfinance?

But don't know whats the best approach to pick one?
#Ratio #charts can help you identify the best stock for #trading and #investment. You can plot a #ratiochart by dividing the price on one stock with another. Its preferable to divide the high priced stock with low priced one to get ratios greater than 1.
You can plot a #ratiochart of stocks of your choice by downloading their closing prices in excel sheet and divide them and plot a line chart or simply go on @tradingview and key in the scrip codes like this: BANKNIFTY/NIFTY
Here's the #Ratiochart of #BankNifty to #Nifty. Remember we are dividing the high priced security with low priced one.
Notice the big fall in ratio chart since March 2020. The #ratio dropped from a high of 2.60 to a low of 1.90 by May. Image
A falling #ratio means that #BankNifty was #underperforming #Nifty. Please note underperformance doesnt mean that BankNifty was falling and Nifty was rising. It means Bank Nifty underperformed Nifty. (in this case it fell more than Nifty)
Underperformance can happen in either of these cases:

1. #BankNifty falls more than #Nifty
2. #BankNifty falls and #Nifty rises
3. #BankNifty rises less than #Nifty
#Outperformance can happen in either of these cases:

1. #BankNifty rises more than #Nifty
2. #BankNifty rises and #Nifty falls
3. #BankNifty falls less than #Nifty
#Ratiocharts are just like your normal price charts so you can plot any technical indicator or study you want on them. But these ratio charts are cyclical in nature which makes them useful. Here's an example of #TCS & #Infosys. ImageImage
#TCS & #Infosys stock price has multiplied by 4-5 times since 2013. But notice their #ratiochart trading nicely in the range of 2.00 to 3.00. At a ratio chart level of 2, TCS is underpriced compared to #Infy and at a level of 3 it is overpriced.
If you are a #fundmanager thinking which one to give more weightage in your #portfolio you could use #ratiocharts. Give more weightage to #TCS when the ratio is at 2 and give more weightage to #Infy when the ratio is at 3.
If you are a #trader with an appetite for risk you could go long on TCS and short Infosys when the ratio trades around 2. You could short #TCS and long #Infosys when the ratio is around 3. This strategy is known as #pairtrading.
The contract value of both the trades should be closer to each other. For example if you are shorting a stock with a contract value of Rs 6 lakh then you must buy the other stock worth Rs 6 lakh to maintain cash neutrality.

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More from @apurvansheth

Oct 19, 2020
Do you believe #markets are #cyclical in nature?
Do you think #history #rhymes, if not #repeats?
Do you agree #greed and #fear are two main forces in the market?
If answer of above Q's is yes then following tweets will solidify ur view if its a no then they will change ur view.
Above is a monthly chart of #Sensex. It goes through an alternating #greedandfear cycle of 8 years. Sensex moves up in greed phase and consolidates in fear phase. It was up 469% in greed phase of 1992. was up only 20% from 1992 to 2000. From 2000 to 2008 it was up 271%.
In fear phase of 2008 to 2016 it was up only 48%. #Sensex has entered greed phase in 2016 and will stay there till 2024. So far its up more than 50%. But the story doesnt end there. The sectors which move up during these phases also go through a cycle.
Read 22 tweets
Sep 28, 2020
Have you ever felt that you have lived the present situation before? Its called #Déjàvu. Right now I'm experiencing this moment in the markets. #PSUBanks are going through tough times. But this isnt new. They were in a similar situation back in 2016. (1/n)
#PSUBanks were dealing with NPA's and losses in Mar 2016. Their troubles are amplified after the #COVIDー19 outbreak. But it seems worst is over. Here's a weekly chart of #NiftyPSUBank index. (2/n) ImageImage
#PSUBanks are forming bullish divergence in #RelativeStrengthIndex(RSI) on weekly charts. #RSI is a momentum indicator. Bullish divergence in it indicates that ongoing downtrend is losing steam. It doesnt guarantee a reversal but increases the chances. (3/n) Image
Read 12 tweets
Aug 31, 2020
#Market #breadth is weak despite 100 point gap up in #nifty...quite unusual considering the recent rally in broader markets👀 Lets see if it catches up during the day
#Humptydumty #nifty had a great fall...is this the #top?
Declining stocks outweighed advances early in the day this was an indication of things to come.

#advancedecline #nifty #triplecentury Image
Read 5 tweets
Jul 6, 2020
I am building up on the concept of #RTM shared by @heartwon in this post -

#RTM = Short-Term Mvng Avg (5DEMA) / Longer-Term Mvng Avg (20 DEMA)

He adds another #RTM: 4 Week EMA / 12 Week EMA on the #charts to get a holistic view
So the two #RTM's work like a MACD except that an #MACD plots the absolute difference between 2 mvng avgs. But since we are dividing one avg with another in #RTM we can use it to compare one stock with another which we cant do in a MACD.
I have applied the concept of RTM on F&O stocks and come up with some insights. If the daily #RTM value is above the Weekly #RTM value then I define the trend as bullish. Then I calculate the difference between Daily and weekly #RTM's across F&O stocks. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 13, 2020
My friend @VMK100 sent me this insightful short note on mental fitness for traders by @normanhallett. I'm summarizing the points worth learning in this thread for the benefit of #trading community. Image
1. You've got a superb #tradingsystem...so why are you losing?

You are not in control of your #emotions.
2. Why are you not able to limit your losses and let your profits run?

You have been taking the losing personally which doesn't allow you to take losses.

It’s not about YOU. It’s about THE MARKET. If you don’t take your emotions out of it,
you don’t have a shot.
Read 20 tweets
May 26, 2020
Introducing the #T20list

This list covers #CNX500 stocks but excludes F&O stocks from the study

stocks at new 20Day highs or lows suggest range #breakout

20Day volume gainers indicate #action

top 20Day % gainers & losers suggests #momentum Image
#Locustsattack could lead to a #bounty for #agrochemical companies

Smaller #cement stocks are gaining interest. Watch out.

#stockstowatch #howtotrade #trading #T20list


My video on how the #T20list can help traders identify #stockstotrade
Read 9 tweets

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