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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
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3 May, 13 tweets, 16 min read
Today's #ArabianStorms were mainly over the Arabian Gulf. #Qatar #Bahrain and the in the middle of the gulf. And the day also saw a storm begin before dawn.

Today's #Ethiopia and #MiddleEast forecasts follow:
The latest CMC and GFS North Africa 10-Day Rain forecasts.
Today two streams of monsoon energy appeared to come together over the south end to send a stream of atmospheric moisture to Oman and on to India.
May 3rd, 10-day accumulated rain forecasts, for Ethiopia, from the ECMWF, GFS and KMA models.
#Sudan #SouthSudan #Ethiopia #GERD #Africa #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain
Here's the second leg of the water transport route to India which was operating at high speed early this morning.
And the final leg to India.
May 3rd, 10-day accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from GFS, ECMWF, CMC, & KMA weather models.

@Arab_Storms
#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Levant #Jordan #Sudan #UAE #Iraq #Iran #Syria #Kuwait #GERD #NileBasin #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain

الله أعلم
May 3rd, 3 day accumulated rain forecasts (to Thursday at Midnight), for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

@Arab_Storms
#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
Arabian Gulf #ArabianStorm at dawn today.
The feed of #ArabianStorms tweets today on @ArabStorms account are rather terrifying. Weather events today in both Yemen and Oman have been extremely damaging and dangerous.
& a terrifying landslide in Yemen...
Finally, three May 3rd, ultra long-range, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, GEFS (16-day) and KMA (12 day) models.

#ArabianStorms #Ramadan

الله أعلم
And on a cheerier note @ArabStorms also posted this tweet from Gulf today.



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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
4 May
<< Baltic Faceoff >>

These two storms now look fairly evenly matched.

The storm on the left (over the UK) is powered by the North Atlantic, while the one on the right over Russia is powered by the #WestAfricanMonsoon

& bottom left over the Med. a spoiler is arriving.
I didn't see this earlier but the marked triangular bit in the top left of this image is the reason the UK Storm didn't manage to push the Russian Storm off the mat.

That's a jet of airborn water that has somehow managed to find its way both into & out of the Arctic.
The Nordic interloper is there at the beginning of the sequence before the sun sets.

These four images show the sequence of events.
Read 6 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
4 May
I have been watching these two storms, one over the UK (on the left) and one over Russia (on the right) for the last 2.5 hours. They are both big storms.

In that time the smaller UK storm has moved 142.2 kms closer while the Russian one has moved 32.16 kms away.
What I am curious about is whether they might merge with each other, and if they do, what it will look like [zoom.earth/#view=55.4,17.…]. They used to be quite a long way away from each other, and the forecasts said they would stay that way.
The much larger Russian one ought to be long gone by now. At least that's what all the computer model's said.
But it has barely moved in the last 36 hours, which is unusual for a storm. Back then it looked more like a whale. [zoom.earth/#view=54.1,36.…]
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
3 May
For me this was a very sad discussion. The first step towards democracy is to hold an election. Unfortunately to do so can be dangerous. But so is not taking that first step.
The path to reaching difficult agreements requires sacrifice. The path to reconciliation requires giving others the benefit of the doubt. And the path to peace requires renouncing violence.
And the path to democracy requires peaceful acceptance of the result of elections.

The outcome of Ethiopia's first election is unlikely to satisfy everyone, and probably won't satisfy a majority. Most elections don't. But it is the 1st step to take to become a democratic nation.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
3 May
A Tale of Two Storms.

In pictures.

[Check out #WestAfricaWaterPlume & @althecat for the words....]
Read 40 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
3 May
A side by side comparison of the impact on Northern Europe of the...

April 30-ongoing #WestAfricaWaterPlume event (left)

...VS the...

April 17-19 #WestAfricaWaterPlume event (right).
The current plume event has a far larger, longer plume. The area affected by the resulting low pressure system is far larger - and vastly more populated.

So far I have found one news report: informpskov.ru/news/353795.ht…

#Россия #Потоп #РоссияПотоп
Unfortunately its just a preview.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
3 May
Good morning.... tis misty, frosty and cold.
... with a half moon.
The mist should burn off as the sun rises. The sky is clear for now. But the weather is expected to deteriorate over the day as an “unseasonably deep” low (aka Storm) moves in over the British Isles to the north.
Read 8 tweets

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