Today's #NorthAfrica and #HornOfAfrica forecasts follow.

Below a satellite picture taken this morning of the #HornOfAfrica.

#Ethiopia #Somaliland #Somalia
The wider region this evening.

More #ArabianStorms and #Abbay convection. The Atlantic continues to be active now looks set to deliver a surprise summer storm early next week. [See #EuropeBigWet for that coverage.]
This close up shows more Atlantic moisture pouring into North Africa over Morroco and Western Sahara. You can also see a substantial dust cloud is now forming which will be helping to suppress Atlantic cyclones.
10 day rainfall forecasts from the CMC, KMA, GFS and ECMWF models for June 10th through 20th.
The cloud presentation showed much stronger convection today over the Ethiopia Highlands than yesterday. And we also have a line of thunderstorms out to the tip of the Horn.
10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 9th of the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

+ bonus 12-day forecast from KMA.

The forecast rains are definitely picking up intensity.
48 hour rainfall forecasts for June 9th of the #HornOfAfrica including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.
Three satellite images a from this morning.

1. A cross section of the Sahara from the Libya coast south to Chad.
2. A picture of Morroco and Algeria
3. Saudi Arabia's mid Red Sea Coast
There were more #ArabianStorms today on Saudi's Red Sea Coast south of Taif. This video shows lightning on the road seen in Aseer.
A flooded intersection and lightning. Also Saudi.

[Video Tweets from @Arab_Storms]
And then there is this beautiful video from #Kyrgyzstan where it has also been raining.
10-Day June 10th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.


#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour June 10th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.


#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
Here is an closeup animation of tonight's #ArabianStorms in #Oman, #Yemen and #SaudiArabia
And finally, June 10th 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

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More from @althecat

12 Jun
Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #ArabianStorms rainfall forecasts follow.

I was wondering if this might happen. With all the moisture streaming along the North African coast and north east from central Africa. Also some forecasts had this indicated as a possibility.
Admittedly the rain is very light. But it is June and close to Solstice, the hottest month in this part of the world. Here we see the broader picture. The #EuropeBigWet is continuing in a fairly stable pattern for another 48 hours still.
Here's a close up of the North Western quadrant with some big storms bursting to life near the Morocco/Algeria border.
Read 22 tweets
12 Jun
What a difference a gnarly little low makes. The till now stationary #EuropeBigWet is about to be blown away. Which will be a relief to some. But there are still a bunch of storms coming. Image
Here in France where we had been expecting to largely ride this out a bunch of big rain events are now coming. Which I will enjoy and will probably also be welcomed by farmers.
A series of North Atlantic storms will soon break the current traffic jam caused by the stationary low over Eastern Europe.

This 10 day simulation shows one possible scenario but the underlying situation is absurdly complicated, so don’t count on this as a guide.
Read 8 tweets
11 Jun
Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast rainfall forecasts follow.

The images below from @NASA below show 3 north-south cross sections of the Sahara taken this morning.
1. Morocco to Ivory Coast
2. Algeria to Nigeria & DRC
3. Levant to Uganda. ImageImageImage
An updated precipitable water animation - 10 Days - for the Sahara. The transit of water in a north easterly direction is finally starting to slow down, albeit not just yet.
10-day rainfall forecasts from four models for North Africa. ImageImageImageImage
Read 19 tweets
11 Jun
This is an incredible resource to assist in understanding of the Tigray conflict. Updated today June 11th. From @GeographyUGent

It provides a holistic overview of the situation including information on the status of the ongoing war. Image
This map shows military actions identified and documented by the team. @GeographyUGent has been studying the Tigray region for 60 years and has a deep network of contacts in the region from which they are gathering information.

12 "Conflict incidents" are included for May 2021. Image
@GeographyUGent 17 "Conflict Incidents" are reported from the month of April. And as of April 23rd this is their map of territorial control. At that time the TDF (Tigray Defence Force) was still in control of significant areas across the region. Image
Read 4 tweets
11 Jun
Ok so this is what this is all about.

@IlhanMN @Ilhan doing her job and politely asking legitimate questions - ones which are being asked by many people all around the world - about the jurisdiction off the nascent International Criminal Court.
Given the absurd over the top responses you would think she had said something offensive. But it seems that she said none of the things that a range of nut jobs are accusing her of saying.
The truth is that Israel and the US arbitrarily exercise their view of justice via an arbitrary policy of targeted assassination. This is not a controversial observation it is the simple truth.

They also refuse to recognise the ICC.
Read 10 tweets
11 Jun

Super efficient delivery at Dinan vaccination center. Tiny needle. Painless. No sign of 5G connection yet :)

Super thankful. To scientists who created this miracle of science, & all the people involved in the delivery.

2nd appointment in July.

Vive La France! Image
‘Tis an exceedingly beautiful place to get vaccinated Dinan. Afterwards I visited the church here which is nearly 1000 years old. Dating back to the crusades and before William of Normandie conquered Britain. ImageImageImageImage
There is an article in French about the Basilica of St Sauveur here >>…

I joined the choir when we lived here briefly in 2017.

Today I visited the chapels of Jesus and Mary and gave thanks for life in general and vaccinations in particular. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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